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基于卫星和再分析数据的全球净地表能量通量评估及不确定性估计。

Evaluation of satellite and reanalysis-based global net surface energy flux and uncertainty estimates.

作者信息

Liu Chunlei, Allan Richard P, Mayer Michael, Hyder Patrick, Loeb Norman G, Roberts Chris D, Valdivieso Maria, Edwards John M, Vidale Pier-Luigi

机构信息

Department of Meteorology University of Reading Reading UK.

National Centre for Earth Observation Reading UK.

出版信息

J Geophys Res Atmos. 2017 Jun 27;122(12):6250-6272. doi: 10.1002/2017JD026616. Epub 2017 Jun 26.

Abstract

The net surface energy flux is central to the climate system yet observational limitations lead to substantial uncertainty. A combination of satellite-derived radiative fluxes at the top of atmosphere adjusted using the latest estimation of the net heat uptake of the Earth system, and the atmospheric energy tendencies and transports from the ERA-Interim reanalysis are used to estimate surface energy flux globally. To consider snowmelt and improve regional realism, land surface fluxes are adjusted through a simple energy balance approach at each grid point. This energy adjustment is redistributed over the oceans to ensure energy conservation and maintain realistic global ocean heat uptake, using a weighting function to avoid meridional discontinuities. Calculated surface energy fluxes are evaluated through comparison to ocean reanalyses. Derived turbulent energy flux variability is compared with the Objectively Analyzed air-sea Fluxes (OAFLUX) product, and inferred meridional energy transports in the global ocean and the Atlantic are also evaluated using observations. Uncertainties in surface fluxes are investigated using a variety of approaches including comparison with a range of atmospheric reanalysis products. Decadal changes in the global mean and the interhemispheric energy imbalances are quantified, and present day cross-equator heat transports are reevaluated at 0.22 ± 0.15 PW (petawatts) southward by the atmosphere and 0.32 ± 0.16 PW northward by the ocean considering the observed ocean heat sinks.

摘要

净表面能量通量是气候系统的核心,但观测限制导致了很大的不确定性。利用基于最新地球系统净热吸收估计值调整后的卫星反演大气顶辐射通量,以及ERA-Interim再分析中的大气能量趋势和传输,来全球估算表面能量通量。为了考虑融雪并提高区域真实性,通过在每个网格点采用简单的能量平衡方法来调整陆地表面通量。这种能量调整通过加权函数在海洋上重新分配,以确保能量守恒并维持实际的全球海洋热吸收,避免经向不连续性。通过与海洋再分析结果对比来评估计算出的表面能量通量。将推导的湍流动能通量变率与客观分析海气通量(OAFLUX)产品进行比较,还利用观测数据评估全球海洋和大西洋中推断的经向能量传输。使用包括与一系列大气再分析产品比较在内的多种方法研究表面通量的不确定性。量化了全球平均值的年代际变化和半球间能量不平衡,并考虑到观测到的海洋热汇,重新评估了当今大气向南和海洋向北的跨赤道热传输分别为0.22±0.15拍瓦(PW)和0.32±0.16拍瓦。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f841/5530441/28566f522e27/JGRD-122-6250-g001.jpg

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