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年龄和性别对美国公路-铁路平交道口机动车驾驶员受伤严重程度的影响。

The effect of age and gender on motor vehicle driver injury severity at highway-rail grade crossings in the United States.

作者信息

Hao Wei, Kamga Camille, Daniel Janice

机构信息

University Transportation Research Center, City College of New York, New York, NY, 10031, USA.

University Transportation Research Center, City College of New York, New York, NY, 10031, USA.

出版信息

J Safety Res. 2015 Dec;55:105-13. doi: 10.1016/j.jsr.2015.08.006. Epub 2015 Sep 9.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Based on the Federal Railway Administration (FRA) database, there were 25,945 highway-rail crossing accidents in the United States between 2002 and 2011. With an extensive database of highway-rail grade crossing accidents in the United States from 2002 to 2011, estimation results showed that there were substantial differences across age/gender groups for driver's injury severity.

METHOD

The study applied an ordered probit model to explore the determinants of driver injury severity for motor vehicle drivers at highway-rail grade crossings.

RESULTS

The analysis found that there are important behavioral and physical differences between male and female drivers given a highway-rail grade crossing accident happened.

PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS

Older drivers have higher fatality probabilities when driving in open space under passive control especially during bad weather condition. Younger male drivers are found to be more likely to have severe injuries at rush hour with high vehicle speed passing unpaved highway-rail grade crossings under passive control. Synthesizing these results led to the conclusion that the primary problem with young is risk-taking and lack of vehicle handling skills. The strength of older drivers lies in their aversion to risk, but physical degradation issues which result in longer reaction/perception times and degradation in vision and hearing often counterbalance this attribute.

摘要

引言

根据联邦铁路管理局(FRA)的数据库,2002年至2011年间美国发生了25945起公路-铁路平交道口事故。利用2002年至2011年美国公路-铁路平交道口事故的广泛数据库,估计结果显示,不同年龄/性别组的驾驶员受伤严重程度存在显著差异。

方法

本研究应用有序概率模型探讨公路-铁路平交道口机动车驾驶员受伤严重程度的决定因素。

结果

分析发现,在发生公路-铁路平交道口事故时,男性和女性驾驶员在行为和身体方面存在重要差异。

实际应用

老年驾驶员在被动控制下于开阔空间驾驶时,尤其是在恶劣天气条件下,死亡概率更高。研究发现,年轻男性驾驶员在高峰时段以高速通过未铺砌的被动控制公路-铁路平交道口时,更有可能受到重伤。综合这些结果得出的结论是,年轻人的主要问题是冒险和缺乏车辆操控技能。老年驾驶员的优势在于他们厌恶风险,但身体机能退化问题,如反应/感知时间延长以及视力和听力下降,往往抵消了这一特性。

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