Tu Yu-Kang
Department of Public Health and Institute of Epidemiology & Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Value Health. 2015 Dec;18(8):1120-5. doi: 10.1016/j.jval.2015.10.002. Epub 2015 Nov 12.
Network meta-analysis compares multiple treatments by incorporating direct and indirect evidence into a general statistical framework. One issue with the validity of network meta-analysis is inconsistency between direct and indirect evidence within a loop formed by three treatments. Recently, the inconsistency issue has been explored further and a complex design-by-treatment interaction model proposed.
The aim of this article was to show how to evaluate the design-by-treatment interaction model using the generalized linear mixed model.
We proposed an arm-based approach to evaluating the design-by-treatment inconsistency, which is flexible in modeling different types of outcome variables. We used the smoking cessation data to compare results from our arm-based approach with those from the standard contrast-based approach.
Because the contrast-based approach requires transformation of data, our example showed that such a transformation may yield biases in the treatment effect and inconsistency evaluation, when event rates were low in some treatments. We also compared contrast-based and arm-based models in the evaluation of design inconsistency when different heterogeneity variances were estimated, and the arm-based model yielded more accurate results.
Because some statistical software commands can detect the collinearity among variables and automatically remove the redundant ones, we can use this advantage to help with placing the inconsistency parameters. This could be very useful for a network meta-analysis involving many designs and treatments.
网络荟萃分析通过将直接证据和间接证据纳入一个通用的统计框架来比较多种治疗方法。网络荟萃分析有效性的一个问题是在由三种治疗方法构成的循环中直接证据和间接证据之间的不一致性。最近,对不一致性问题进行了进一步探索,并提出了一种复杂的设计-治疗交互模型。
本文旨在展示如何使用广义线性混合模型评估设计-治疗交互模型。
我们提出了一种基于组的方法来评估设计-治疗不一致性,该方法在对不同类型的结果变量进行建模时具有灵活性。我们使用戒烟数据将基于组的方法的结果与基于标准对比的方法的结果进行比较。
由于基于对比的方法需要对数据进行转换,我们的示例表明,当某些治疗方法的事件发生率较低时,这种转换可能会在治疗效果和不一致性评估中产生偏差。我们还在估计不同异质性方差时比较了基于对比的模型和基于组的模型在设计不一致性评估中的情况,基于组的模型产生了更准确的结果。
由于一些统计软件命令可以检测变量之间的共线性并自动去除冗余变量,我们可以利用这一优势来帮助放置不一致性参数。这对于涉及许多设计和治疗方法的网络荟萃分析可能非常有用。