Altobelli Emma, Petrocelli Reimondo, Verrotti Alberto, Chiarelli Francesco, Marziliano Ciro
Department of Life, Health and Environmental Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy.
Epidemiologic and Biostatistics Unit, AUSL, Teramo, Italy.
Pediatr Diabetes. 2016 Dec;17(8):559-566. doi: 10.1111/pedi.12345. Epub 2015 Dec 24.
Type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) is influenced by genetic as well as environmental factors. Its incidence has risen considerably since the 1950s.
This study investigates T1DM time trends from 1989 to 2008 and tries to establish whether breast/bottle feeding, a family history of diabetes, and childhood infectious diseases influence age at onset.
The study used the population-based registry of childhood diabetes of Abruzzo (central Italy), which includes incident cases of patients aged less than 15 yr. The pooled 1989-2008 global ascertainment of the registry was 95%. The trend was estimated using age-period-cohort models RESULTS: Overall standardized incidence rates (SIR) increased by 73.38% from 8.94 (1989-1993) to 15.50 (2004-2008). A rising trend was found in all age groups; annual rises were significant for the overall population (3.40%, p < 0.01) and for 5-9 yr olds (5.48%, p < 0.01). SIR increased in males by 106.26%, from 9.26 in 1989-1993 to 19.10 in 2004-2008. Early T1DM onset was related to mixed feeding (6.80 yr ± 3.58 vs 8.20 ± 3.81 yr; p = 0.002), and a family history of T1DM (6.71 ± 3.96 yr vs. 8.09 ± 3.77 yr; p = 0.014), whereas multiple infections delayed age at onset (9.71 ± 2.37 yr vs 7.71 ± 2.82 yr; p = 0.03).
T1DM incidence exhibits a rising time trend that is particularly evident in males and in middle age group; mixed feeding and a family history of diabetes are associated with early onset, multiple bacterial infections contracted before diabetes are associated with a significant delay.
1型糖尿病(T1DM)受遗传和环境因素影响。自20世纪50年代以来,其发病率显著上升。
本研究调查了1989年至2008年T1DM的时间趋势,并试图确定母乳喂养/奶瓶喂养、糖尿病家族史和儿童期传染病是否会影响发病年龄。
该研究使用了意大利中部阿布鲁佐地区基于人群的儿童糖尿病登记系统,其中包括15岁以下患者的新发病例。1989 - 2008年该登记系统的总体确诊率为95%。使用年龄 - 时期 - 队列模型估计趋势。
总体标准化发病率(SIR)从1989 - 1993年的8.94上升73.38%至2004 - 2008年的15.50。在所有年龄组中均发现上升趋势;总体人群的年上升率显著(3.40%,p < 0.01),5 - 9岁儿童的年上升率也显著(5.48%,p < 0.01)。男性的SIR从1989 - 1993年的9.26上升106.26%至2004 - 2008年的19.10。T1DM早期发病与混合喂养有关(6.80岁±3.58对比8.20±3.81岁;p = 0.002),以及与T1DM家族史有关(6.71±3.96岁对比8.09±3.77岁;p = 0.014),而多次感染会延迟发病年龄(9.71±2.37岁对比7.71±2.82岁;p = 0.03)。
T1DM发病率呈现上升的时间趋势,在男性和中年组中尤为明显;混合喂养和糖尿病家族史与早期发病有关,糖尿病发病前感染多种细菌与发病显著延迟有关。