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德国肥胖问题的成本与后果:基于患病率和生命周期视角的新方法。

The costs and consequences of obesity in Germany: a new approach from a prevalence and life-cycle perspective.

作者信息

Effertz Tobias, Engel Susanne, Verheyen Frank, Linder Roland

机构信息

Institut für Recht der Wirtschaft, Universität Hamburg, Max Brauer Allee 60, 22765, Hamburg, Germany.

WINEG | Wissenschaftliches Institut der TK, für Nutzen und Effizienz im Gesundheitswesen, Bramfelder Straße 140, 22305, Hamburg, Germany.

出版信息

Eur J Health Econ. 2016 Dec;17(9):1141-1158. doi: 10.1007/s10198-015-0751-4. Epub 2015 Dec 23.

DOI:10.1007/s10198-015-0751-4
PMID:26701837
Abstract

With the steadily growing health burden of obesity in Germany, the measuring and quantification of its costs and relevant economic consequences have become increasingly important. The usual quantifications via previous cost-of-illness approaches mostly have several weaknesses, e.g., applying "indirect methods" by using "population-attributable fractions" to identify parts of costs that can be accrued to obesity, second using highly aggregated data and third often only displaying part of the costs. This article presents a new approach and a new estimation of the cost and consequences of obesity in Germany using claims data from a German health insurance company. A sample of 146,000 individuals was analyzed with both a prevalence and a life-cycle focus on the cost and consequences of obesity. With additional data sets, we calculate the deaths per year due to obesity, the excess costs per year and several intangible consequences usually referred to as "pain and suffering". Our results show that the cost estimations of obesity in Germany so far have been largely underestimated. The annual direct costs of obesity in Germany amount to approximately €29.39 billion and the indirect costs to an additional €33.65 billion. A total of 102,000 subjects die prematurely each year because of obesity, and there is a significant excess of unemployment, long-term nursing care, and pain and suffering due to obesity. From a lifetime perspective, every obese man is equal to an additional burden of €166,911 and each woman of €206,526 for the social security system in Germany. Obesity due to unhealthy eating is thus about to replace tobacco consumption in terms of costs and consequences as the main hazardous lifestyle factor and thus should be more intensively focussed by public health policy.

摘要

随着德国肥胖问题给健康带来的负担持续加重,对肥胖成本及其相关经济后果进行衡量和量化变得愈发重要。以往通过疾病成本法进行的常规量化大多存在若干弱点,例如,采用“间接方法”,利用“人群归因分数”来确定可归因于肥胖的成本部分;其次,使用高度汇总的数据;第三,往往只显示部分成本。本文提出一种新方法,并利用一家德国健康保险公司的理赔数据,对德国肥胖的成本和后果进行了新的估算。以14.6万人为样本,从患病率和生命周期两个角度分析了肥胖的成本和后果。借助其他数据集,我们计算了每年因肥胖导致的死亡人数、每年的额外成本以及通常被称为“痛苦与折磨”的若干无形后果。我们的结果表明,德国迄今对肥胖成本的估算在很大程度上被低估了。德国肥胖的年度直接成本约为293.9亿欧元,间接成本额外为336.5亿欧元。每年共有10.2万人因肥胖而过早死亡,肥胖还导致失业率大幅上升、长期护理需求增加以及痛苦与折磨。从终身角度来看,对于德国社会保障系统而言,每位肥胖男性相当于额外增加166,911欧元的负担,每位肥胖女性相当于额外增加206,526欧元的负担。因此,就成本和后果而言,不健康饮食导致的肥胖即将取代烟草消费,成为主要的有害生活方式因素,公共卫生政策应更加密切关注这一问题。

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