Wang Xuying, Li Guoxing, Liu Liqun, Westerdahl Dane, Jin Xiaobin, Pan Xiaochuan
Department of Occupational and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China.
Sibley School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14850, USA.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2015 Dec 21;12(12):16136-56. doi: 10.3390/ijerph121215042.
Limited evidence is available for the effects of extreme temperatures on cause-specific cardiovascular mortality in China.
We collected data from Beijing and Shanghai, China, during 2007-2009, including the daily mortality of cardiovascular disease, cerebrovascular disease, ischemic heart disease and hypertensive disease, as well as air pollution concentrations and weather conditions. We used Poisson regression with a distributed lag non-linear model to examine the effects of extremely high and low ambient temperatures on cause-specific cardiovascular mortality.
For all cause-specific cardiovascular mortality, Beijing had stronger cold and hot effects than those in Shanghai. The cold effects on cause-specific cardiovascular mortality reached the strongest at lag 0-27, while the hot effects reached the strongest at lag 0-14. The effects of extremely low and high temperatures differed by mortality types in the two cities. Hypertensive disease in Beijing was particularly susceptible to both extremely high and low temperatures; while for Shanghai, people with ischemic heart disease showed the greatest relative risk (RRs = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.34) to extremely low temperature.
People with hypertensive disease were particularly susceptible to extremely low and high temperatures in Beijing. People with ischemic heart disease in Shanghai showed greater susceptibility to extremely cold days.
关于极端温度对中国特定病因心血管疾病死亡率影响的证据有限。
我们收集了2007 - 2009年期间中国北京和上海的数据,包括心血管疾病、脑血管疾病、缺血性心脏病和高血压疾病的每日死亡率,以及空气污染浓度和天气状况。我们使用带分布滞后非线性模型的泊松回归来研究极端高温和低温对特定病因心血管疾病死亡率的影响。
对于所有特定病因的心血管疾病死亡率,北京的冷热效应比上海更强。低温对特定病因心血管疾病死亡率的影响在滞后0 - 27天时最强,而高温影响在滞后0 - 14天时最强。两个城市中,极端低温和高温的影响因死亡率类型而异。北京的高血压疾病对极端高温和低温都特别敏感;而在上海,缺血性心脏病患者对极端低温显示出最大相对风险(相对风险 = 1.16,95%置信区间:1.03,1.34)。
北京的高血压患者对极端低温和高温特别敏感。上海的缺血性心脏病患者对极寒天气更敏感。