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2009年至2013年甘肃省丙型病毒性肝炎时空研究

[Time-space study on viral hepatitis C in Gansu province, from 2009 to 2013].

作者信息

Jiang Xiaojuan, Meng Lei, Liu Xinfeng, Liu Dongpeng, Gou Faxiang, Wei Kongfu, Li Zhiping, Cheng Yao

机构信息

Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Lanzhou 730000, China.

Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Lanzhou 730000, China; Email:

出版信息

Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2015 Aug;36(8):867-70.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To study the time-space distribution of viral hepatitis C in Gansu province during 2009-2013, using the time-space statistics.

METHODS

Using Geoda to analysis the univariate Moran's I and univariate local Moran's I while using SaTScan to detect the time-space gathering areas.

RESULTS

There was spatial autocorrelation on incidence of hepatitis C noticed in Gansu during 2009-2013. The hot spots areas were counties as Jinchang, Wuwei, Zhangye and Lanzhou. Cold spot areas would include counties as Dingxi, Longnan, Pingliang, Gannan, Jiuquan, Qingyang, Baiyin and Tianshui. There were time-space gathering areas nitoced, during 2009-2010. Qinzhou and Maiji counties belonged to high incidence gathering areas. Lintao and Linxia were of low incidence gathering areas. In 2011-2013, high incidence gathering area would include counties as Zhangye, Jinchang, Wuwei Lanzhou and Baiyin while low incidence gathering areas would include counties as Dingxi, Tianshui, Pingliang, Longnan and Qingyang.

CONCLUSION

There appeared time-space gathering of hepatitis C in Gansu province during 2009-2013. High and low gathering areas varied with time and high incidence gathering area mainly distributed in the western and central areas of Gansu province.

摘要

目的

运用时空统计学方法研究甘肃省2009 - 2013年丙型病毒性肝炎的时空分布特征。

方法

采用Geoda软件分析单变量全局Moran's I指数和单变量局部Moran's I指数,同时运用SaTScan软件探测时空聚集区域。

结果

2009 - 2013年甘肃省丙型肝炎发病率存在空间自相关性。热点地区包括金昌、武威、张掖和兰州等市的县区。冷点地区包括定西、陇南、平凉、甘南、酒泉、庆阳、白银和天水等市的县区。2009 - 2010年存在时空聚集区域,秦州区和麦积区属于高发病聚集区,临洮县和临夏县属于低发病聚集区。2011 - 2013年,高发病聚集区包括张掖、金昌、武威、兰州和白银等市的县区,低发病聚集区包括定西、天水、平凉、陇南和庆阳等市的县区。

结论

2009 - 2013年甘肃省丙型肝炎发病存在时空聚集现象,高低聚集区随时间变化,高发病聚集区主要分布在甘肃省中西部地区。

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