Smith Andrew D A C, Tilling Kate, Nelson Scott M, Lawlor Debbie A
Medical Research Council Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, UK.
School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, UK.
JAMA. 2015;314(24):2654-2662. doi: 10.1001/jama.2015.17296.
The likelihood of achieving a live birth with repeat in vitro fertilization (IVF) is unclear, yet treatment is commonly limited to 3 or 4 embryo transfers.
To determine the live-birth rate per initiated ovarian stimulation IVF cycle and with repeated cycles.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective study of 156,947 UK women who received 257,398 IVF ovarian stimulation cycles between 2003 and 2010 and were followed up until June 2012.
In vitro fertilization, with a cycle defined as an episode of ovarian stimulation and all subsequent separate fresh and frozen embryo transfers.
Live-birth rate per IVF cycle and the cumulative live-birth rates across all cycles in all women and by age and treatment type. Optimal, prognosis-adjusted, and conservative cumulative live-birth rates were estimated, reflecting 0%, 30%, and 100%, respectively, of women who discontinued due to poor prognosis and having a live-birth rate of 0 had they continued.
Among the 156,947 women, the median age at start of treatment was 35 years (interquartile range, 32-38; range, 18-55), and the median duration of infertility for all 257,398 cycles was 4 years (interquartile range, 2-6; range, <1-29). In all women, the live-birth rate for the first cycle was 29.5% (95% CI, 29.3%-29.7%). This remained above 20% up to and including the fourth cycle. The cumulative prognosis-adjusted live-birth rate across all cycles continued to increase up to the ninth cycle, with 65.3% (95% CI, 64.8%-65.8%) of women achieving a live birth by the sixth cycle. In women younger than 40 years using their own oocytes, the live-birth rate for the first cycle was 32.3% (95% CI, 32.0%-32.5%) and remained above 20% up to and including the fourth cycle. Six cycles achieved a cumulative prognosis-adjusted live-birth rate of 68.4% (95% CI, 67.8%-68.9%). For women aged 40 to 42 years, the live-birth rate for the first cycle was 12.3% (95% CI, 11.8%-12.8%), with 6 cycles achieving a cumulative prognosis-adjusted live-birth rate of 31.5% (95% CI, 29.7%-33.3%). For women older than 42 years, all rates within each cycle were less than 4%. No age differential was observed among women using donor oocytes. Rates were lower for women with untreated male partner-related infertility compared with those with any other cause, but treatment with either intracytoplasmic sperm injection or sperm donation removed this difference.
Among women in the United Kingdom undergoing IVF, the cumulative prognosis-adjusted live-birth rate after 6 cycles was 65.3%, with variations by age and treatment type. These findings support the efficacy of extending the number of IVF cycles beyond 3 or 4.
重复体外受精(IVF)实现活产的可能性尚不清楚,但治疗通常限于3次或4次胚胎移植。
确定每个启动的卵巢刺激IVF周期以及重复周期后的活产率。
设计、设置和参与者:对2003年至2010年间接受257,398个IVF卵巢刺激周期的156,947名英国女性进行前瞻性研究,并随访至2012年6月。
体外受精,一个周期定义为一次卵巢刺激以及所有随后单独的新鲜和冷冻胚胎移植。
每个IVF周期的活产率以及所有女性、按年龄和治疗类型划分的所有周期的累积活产率。估计了最佳、预后调整和保守的累积活产率,分别反映因预后不良而停止治疗且若继续治疗活产率为0的女性中的0%、30%和100%。
在156,947名女性中,开始治疗时的中位年龄为35岁(四分位间距,32 - 38岁;范围,18 - 55岁),所有257,398个周期的中位不孕持续时间为4年(四分位间距,2 - 6年;范围,<1 - 29年)。在所有女性中,第一个周期的活产率为29.5%(95%置信区间,29.3% - 29.7%)。直至并包括第四个周期,该活产率均保持在20%以上。所有周期的累积预后调整活产率直至第九个周期持续上升,到第六个周期时,65.3%(95%置信区间,64.8% - 65.8%)的女性实现了活产。在40岁以下使用自身卵子的女性中,第一个周期的活产率为32.3%(95%置信区间,32.0% - 32.5%),直至并包括第四个周期均保持在20%以上。六个周期实现的累积预后调整活产率为68.4%(95%置信区间,67.8% - 68.9%)。对于40至42岁的女性,第一个周期的活产率为12.3%(95%置信区间,11.8% - 12.8%),六个周期实现的累积预后调整活产率为31.5%(95%置信区间,29.7% - 33.3%)。对于42岁以上的女性,每个周期内的所有比率均低于4%。使用捐赠卵子的女性中未观察到年龄差异。与其他任何原因导致不孕的女性相比,男性伴侣相关不孕未经治疗的女性活产率较低,但卵胞浆内单精子注射或精子捐赠治疗消除了这种差异。
在英国接受IVF的女性中,6个周期后的累积预后调整活产率为65.3%,因年龄和治疗类型而异。这些发现支持将IVF周期数延长至3次或4次以上的有效性。