Poorolajal Jalal, Mazdeh Mehrdokht, Saatchi Mohammad, Talebi Ghane Elaheh, Biderafsh Azam, Lotfi Bahar, Feryadres Mohammad, Pajohi Khabat
Modeling of Noncommunicable Diseases Research Center, Dept. of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.
Dept. of Neurology, School of Medicine, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.
Iran J Public Health. 2015 Nov;44(11):1498-505.
Hamadan Province is one of the high-risk regions in Iran for Multiple sclerosis (MS). A majority of the epidemiological studies conducted in Iran addressing MS are descriptive. This study was conducted to assess MS and its associated risk factors in Hamadan Province, the west of Iran.
This case-control study compared 100 patients with MS (case group) and 100 patients with acute infectious diseases (control group) from September 2013 to March 2014. A checklist was used to assess the demographic, medical, and family history of the patients. The Friedman-Rosenman questionnaire was also used to assess personality type. Statistical analysis was performed using logistic regression model with Stata 11 software program.
The adjusted odds ratio (OR) estimate of MS was 4.37 (95% CI: 2.33, 8.20) for females compared to males; 0.15 (95% CI: 0.06, 0.43) for people aged above 50 years compared to aged 14 to 29 years; 0.44 (95% CI: 0.21, 0.91) for overweight or obese people compared to normal weights. Crude OR indicated a significant association between the occurrence of MS and exclusive breast feeding, season of birth, and smoking. However, the association was not statistically significant after adjustment for other covariates.
The risk of MS is significantly lower in male gender, obese/overweight, and old people. Furthermore, non-smoking, non-exclusive breast-feeding, and born in autumn may increase the risk of MS but need further investigation. However, long-term large prospective cohort studies are needed to investigate the true effect of the potential risk factors on MS.
哈马丹省是伊朗多发性硬化症(MS)的高风险地区之一。伊朗开展的大多数关于MS的流行病学研究都是描述性的。本研究旨在评估伊朗西部哈马丹省的MS及其相关危险因素。
本病例对照研究在2013年9月至2014年3月期间比较了100例MS患者(病例组)和100例急性传染病患者(对照组)。使用一份清单来评估患者的人口统计学、医学和家族史。还使用弗里德曼-罗森曼问卷来评估人格类型。使用Stata 11软件程序通过逻辑回归模型进行统计分析。
与男性相比,女性患MS的调整优势比(OR)估计值为4.37(95%置信区间:2.33,8.20);与14至29岁的人相比,50岁以上人群的OR为0.15(95%置信区间:0.06,0.43);与正常体重者相比,超重或肥胖者的OR为0.44(95%置信区间:0.21,0.91)。粗OR表明MS的发生与纯母乳喂养、出生季节和吸烟之间存在显著关联。然而,在对其他协变量进行调整后,这种关联在统计学上并不显著。
男性、肥胖/超重者和老年人患MS的风险显著较低。此外,不吸烟、非纯母乳喂养和秋季出生可能会增加患MS的风险,但需要进一步研究。然而,需要长期的大型前瞻性队列研究来调查潜在危险因素对MS的真正影响。