Yu Yongfu, Qin Guoyou, Cnattingius Sven, Gissler Mika, Olsen Jørn, Zhao Naiqing, Li Jiong
Section for Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.
Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
PLoS One. 2016 Jan 8;11(1):e0146669. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0146669. eCollection 2016.
Mortality in children under five years has been widely studied, whereas mortality at 5-9 years has received little attention. Using unique data from national registers in three Nordic countries, we aimed to characterize mortality directionality in children aged 0 to 9 years.
The cohort study included all children born in Denmark from 1973 to 2008 (n = 2,433,758), Sweden from 1973 to 2006 (n = 3,400,212), and a random sample of 89.3% of children born in Finland from 1987 to 2007 (n = 1,272,083). Children were followed from 0 to 9 years, and cumulative mortality and mortality rates were compared by age, gender, cause of death, and calendar periods. Among the 7,105,962 children, there were 48,299 deaths during study period. From 1981-1985 to 2001-2005, all-cause mortality rates were reduced by between 34% and 62% at different ages. Overall mortality rate ratio between boys and girls decreased from 1.25 to 1.21 with the most prominent reduction in children aged 5-9 years (from 1.59 to 1.19). Neoplasms, diseases of the nervous system and transport accidents were the most frequent cause of death after the first year of life. These three leading causes of death declined by 42% (from 6.2 to 3.6 per 100,000 person years), 43% (from 3.7 to 2.1) and 62% (from 3.9 to 1.5) in boys, and 25% (from 4.1 to 3.1 per 100000 person years), 42% (from 3.4 to 1.9) and 63% (from 3.0 to 1.1) in girls, respectively. Mortality from neoplasms was the highest in each age except infants when comparing cause-specific mortality, and half of deaths from diseases of the nervous system occurred in infancy. Mortality rate due to transport accidents increased with age and was highest in boys aged 5-9 years.
Mortality rate in children aged 0-9 years has been decreasing with diminished difference between genders over the past decades. Our results suggest the importance of further research on mortality by causes of neoplasms, and causes of transport accidents-especially in children aged 5-9 years.
五岁以下儿童的死亡率已得到广泛研究,而5至9岁儿童的死亡率却很少受到关注。利用来自三个北欧国家国家登记册的独特数据,我们旨在描述0至9岁儿童死亡率的方向性特征。
队列研究纳入了1973年至2008年在丹麦出生的所有儿童(n = 2,433,758)、1973年至2006年在瑞典出生的所有儿童(n = 3,400,212),以及1987年至2007年在芬兰出生的89.3%的儿童随机样本(n = 1,272,083)。对儿童从0岁至9岁进行随访,并按年龄、性别、死因和日历时间段比较累积死亡率和死亡率。在这7,105,962名儿童中,研究期间有48,299人死亡。从1981 - 1985年到2001 - 2005年,不同年龄的全因死亡率降低了34%至62%。男孩与女孩的总体死亡率之比从1.25降至1.21,其中5至9岁儿童的降幅最为显著(从1.59降至1.19)。肿瘤、神经系统疾病和交通事故是一岁以后最常见的死因。这三大主要死因在男孩中的降幅分别为42%(从每10万人年6.2例降至3.6例)、43%(从3.7例降至2.1例)和62%(从3.9例降至1.5例),在女孩中的降幅分别为25%(从每10万人年4.1例降至3.1例)、42%(从3.4例降至1.9例)和63%(从3.0例降至1.1例)。在比较特定病因死亡率时,除婴儿期外,肿瘤导致的死亡率在各年龄段均最高,神经系统疾病导致的死亡有一半发生在婴儿期。交通事故导致的死亡率随年龄增长而上升,在5至9岁男孩中最高。
在过去几十年中,0至9岁儿童的死亡率一直在下降,性别差异也在缩小。我们的结果表明,进一步研究肿瘤病因和交通事故病因导致的死亡率具有重要意义,尤其是在5至9岁的儿童中。