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青少年评估与筛查工具的有效性:一种融合风险、需求和优势的青少年司法工具。

Validity of the youth assessment and screening instrument: A juvenile justice tool incorporating risks, needs, and strengths.

作者信息

Jones Natalie J, Brown Shelley L, Robinson David, Frey Deanna

机构信息

Orbis Partners.

Department of Psychology, Carleton University.

出版信息

Law Hum Behav. 2016 Apr;40(2):182-94. doi: 10.1037/lhb0000170. Epub 2016 Jan 11.

Abstract

The primary purpose of this study is to introduce the Youth Assessment and Screening Instrument (YASI; Orbis Partners, 2000), which is a comprehensive assessment protocol gauging a range of risks, needs, and strengths associated with criminal conduct in juvenile populations. Applied to a sample of 464 juvenile offenders bound by community supervision in Alberta, Canada, the Pre-Screen version of the instrument achieved a high level of accuracy in predicting both general and violent offenses over an 18-month follow-up period (Area Under the Curve [AUC] = .79). No significant differences in overall predictive validity were found across demographic groups, save for the relatively lower level of accuracy achieved in predicting general reoffending across the subsample of girls (AUC = .68). With regard to strengths, a buffering effect was identified whereby high-risk cases with higher levels of strength had superior outcomes compared to their lower strength counterparts. Results suggest that it is advisable to consider the quantitative inclusion of strength-based items in the assessment of juvenile risk.

摘要

本研究的主要目的是介绍青少年评估与筛查工具(YASI;奥比斯伙伴组织,2000年),这是一种全面的评估方案,用于衡量与青少年犯罪行为相关的一系列风险、需求和优势。该工具的预筛查版本应用于加拿大艾伯塔省受社区监管的464名青少年罪犯样本,在18个月的随访期内,在预测一般犯罪和暴力犯罪方面都达到了很高的准确率(曲线下面积[AUC]=0.79)。除了在预测女孩子样本中的一般再犯罪方面准确率相对较低(AUC=0.68)外,各人口群体在总体预测效度上没有发现显著差异。关于优势,发现了一种缓冲效应,即与优势水平较低的高风险案例相比,优势水平较高的高风险案例有更好的结果。结果表明,在评估青少年风险时,考虑定量纳入基于优势的项目是可取的。

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