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巴西一个大型集水区首次精神科住院的住院时间对随后几年再入院率的影响。

Impact of length of stay for first psychiatric admissions on the ratio of readmissions in subsequent years in a large Brazilian catchment area.

作者信息

Barros Regis Eric Maia, Marques João Mazzoncini de Azevedo, Santos Jair Lício Ferreira, Zuardi Antonio Waldo, Del-Ben Cristina Marta

机构信息

Departamento de Neurociências e Ciências do Comportamento, Faculdade de Medicina de Ribeirão Preto-USP, Ribeirão Preto Medical School, University of São Paulo, Avenida Bandeirantes 3900, Ribeirão Preto, SP, CEP: 14048-900, Brazil.

Department of Social Medicine, Ribeirão Preto Medical School, University of São Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brazil.

出版信息

Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol. 2016 Apr;51(4):575-87. doi: 10.1007/s00127-016-1175-x. Epub 2016 Jan 22.

Abstract

PURPOSE

This study aims to verify the impact that the length of stay has on the rates of readmission for patients who were first admitted to various inpatient psychiatric units in a large catchment area in a middle-income country.

METHODS

The study included all patients who were first admitted to the 108 acute psychiatric beds available in the catchment area of Ribeirão Preto, Brazil, for a period of 8 years. Demographic features, inpatient unit of discharge, diagnosis and length of stay were assessed by bivariate analysis. An analysis of the time span between first admission and readmission was also conducted using survival curves estimated by the Kaplan-Meier formula. For the analyses of the risk of readmissions, a logistic regression analysis was conducted.

RESULTS

From a total of 6261 patients admitted in the period of the survey, approximately one-third (2006) had at least one other readmission during the follow-up period. The rates per year of early readmission (within 90 days after discharge) varied from 16.1 to 20.9 %. The risk of readmission was higher immediately after discharge. The survival analysis showed that ultrashort length of stay (1-2 days) was associated with reduced odds of readmission, but multivariate logistic analysis showed no association between length of stay and the odds of readmissions. The predictors of early readmission included the diagnosis of depressive, bipolar, psychotic, and non-alcohol-related disorders, younger ages and unemployment.

CONCLUSIONS

Duration of the first psychiatric admission was not associated with a higher risk of readmissions. Predictors for early readmissions of first-time-admitted psychiatric patients seem to be more related to the severity of the psychiatric diagnosis and demographic characteristics.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在验证住院时间长短对中等收入国家一个大集水区内首次入住各住院精神科病房的患者再入院率的影响。

方法

该研究纳入了巴西里贝朗普雷图集水区内108张急性精神科病床在8年期间首次入院的所有患者。通过双变量分析评估人口统计学特征、出院的住院科室、诊断和住院时间。还使用Kaplan-Meier公式估计的生存曲线对首次入院和再入院之间的时间跨度进行了分析。为了分析再入院风险,进行了逻辑回归分析。

结果

在调查期间入院的6261名患者中,约三分之一(2006名)在随访期间至少有一次再次入院。早期再入院率(出院后90天内)每年从16.1%到20.9%不等。出院后立即再入院的风险更高。生存分析表明,超短住院时间(1 - 2天)与再入院几率降低相关,但多变量逻辑分析表明住院时间与再入院几率之间无关联。早期再入院的预测因素包括抑郁、双相、精神病性和非酒精相关障碍的诊断、年龄较小和失业。

结论

首次精神科住院时间与再入院风险较高无关。首次入院精神科患者早期再入院的预测因素似乎更多地与精神科诊断的严重程度和人口统计学特征有关。

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