Suppr超能文献

1990年至2013年间全球及各国儿童和青少年的疾病与伤害负担:全球疾病负担研究2013的结果

Global and National Burden of Diseases and Injuries Among Children and Adolescents Between 1990 and 2013: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease 2013 Study.

作者信息

Kyu Hmwe H, Pinho Christine, Wagner Joseph A, Brown Jonathan C, Bertozzi-Villa Amelia, Charlson Fiona J, Coffeng Luc Edgar, Dandona Lalit, Erskine Holly E, Ferrari Alize J, Fitzmaurice Christina, Fleming Thomas D, Forouzanfar Mohammad H, Graetz Nicholas, Guinovart Caterina, Haagsma Juanita, Higashi Hideki, Kassebaum Nicholas J, Larson Heidi J, Lim Stephen S, Mokdad Ali H, Moradi-Lakeh Maziar, Odell Shaun V, Roth Gregory A, Serina Peter T, Stanaway Jeffrey D, Misganaw Awoke, Whiteford Harvey A, Wolock Timothy M, Wulf Hanson Sarah, Abd-Allah Foad, Abera Semaw Ferede, Abu-Raddad Laith J, AlBuhairan Fadia S, Amare Azmeraw T, Antonio Carl Abelardo T, Artaman Al, Barker-Collo Suzanne L, Barrero Lope H, Benjet Corina, Bensenor Isabela M, Bhutta Zulfiqar A, Bikbov Boris, Brazinova Alexandra, Campos-Nonato Ismael, Castañeda-Orjuela Carlos A, Catalá-López Ferrán, Chowdhury Rajiv, Cooper Cyrus, Crump John A, Dandona Rakhi, Degenhardt Louisa, Dellavalle Robert P, Dharmaratne Samath D, Faraon Emerito Jose A, Feigin Valery L, Fürst Thomas, Geleijnse Johanna M, Gessner Bradford D, Gibney Katherine B, Goto Atsushi, Gunnell David, Hankey Graeme J, Hay Roderick J, Hornberger John C, Hosgood H Dean, Hu Guoqing, Jacobsen Kathryn H, Jayaraman Sudha P, Jeemon Panniyammakal, Jonas Jost B, Karch André, Kim Daniel, Kim Sungroul, Kokubo Yoshihiro, Kuate Defo Barthelemy, Kucuk Bicer Burcu, Kumar G Anil, Larsson Anders, Leasher Janet L, Leung Ricky, Li Yongmei, Lipshultz Steven E, Lopez Alan D, Lotufo Paulo A, Lunevicius Raimundas, Lyons Ronan A, Majdan Marek, Malekzadeh Reza, Mashal Taufiq, Mason-Jones Amanda J, Melaku Yohannes Adama, Memish Ziad A, Mendoza Walter, Miller Ted R, Mock Charles N, Murray Joseph, Nolte Sandra, Oh In-Hwan, Olusanya Bolajoko Olubukunola, Ortblad Katrina F, Park Eun-Kee, Paternina Caicedo Angel J, Patten Scott B, Patton George C, Pereira David M, Perico Norberto, Piel Frédéric B, Polinder Suzanne, Popova Svetlana, Pourmalek Farshad, Quistberg D Alex, Remuzzi Giuseppe, Rodriguez Alina, Rojas-Rueda David, Rothenbacher Dietrich, Rothstein David H, Sanabria Juan, Santos Itamar S, Schwebel David C, Sepanlou Sadaf G, Shaheen Amira, Shiri Rahman, Shiue Ivy, Skirbekk Vegard, Sliwa Karen, Sreeramareddy Chandrashekhar T, Stein Dan J, Steiner Timothy J, Stovner Lars Jacob, Sykes Bryan L, Tabb Karen M, Terkawi Abdullah Sulieman, Thomson Alan J, Thorne-Lyman Andrew L, Towbin Jeffrey Allen, Ukwaja Kingsley Nnanna, Vasankari Tommi, Venketasubramanian Narayanaswamy, Vlassov Vasiliy Victorovich, Vollset Stein Emil, Weiderpass Elisabete, Weintraub Robert G, Werdecker Andrea, Wilkinson James D, Woldeyohannes Solomon Meseret, Wolfe Charles D A, Yano Yuichiro, Yip Paul, Yonemoto Naohiro, Yoon Seok-Jun, Younis Mustafa Z, Yu Chuanhua, El Sayed Zaki Maysaa, Naghavi Mohsen, Murray Christopher J L, Vos Theo

机构信息

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle.

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle2School of Public Health, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia3Queensland Centre for Mental Health Research, Brisbane, Australia.

出版信息

JAMA Pediatr. 2016 Mar;170(3):267-87. doi: 10.1001/jamapediatrics.2015.4276.

Abstract

IMPORTANCE

The literature focuses on mortality among children younger than 5 years. Comparable information on nonfatal health outcomes among these children and the fatal and nonfatal burden of diseases and injuries among older children and adolescents is scarce.

OBJECTIVE

To determine levels and trends in the fatal and nonfatal burden of diseases and injuries among younger children (aged <5 years), older children (aged 5-9 years), and adolescents (aged 10-19 years) between 1990 and 2013 in 188 countries from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2013 study.

EVIDENCE REVIEW

Data from vital registration, verbal autopsy studies, maternal and child death surveillance, and other sources covering 14,244 site-years (ie, years of cause of death data by geography) from 1980 through 2013 were used to estimate cause-specific mortality. Data from 35,620 epidemiological sources were used to estimate the prevalence of the diseases and sequelae in the GBD 2013 study. Cause-specific mortality for most causes was estimated using the Cause of Death Ensemble Model strategy. For some infectious diseases (eg, HIV infection/AIDS, measles, hepatitis B) where the disease process is complex or the cause of death data were insufficient or unavailable, we used natural history models. For most nonfatal health outcomes, DisMod-MR 2.0, a Bayesian metaregression tool, was used to meta-analyze the epidemiological data to generate prevalence estimates.

FINDINGS

Of the 7.7 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 7.4-8.1) million deaths among children and adolescents globally in 2013, 6.28 million occurred among younger children, 0.48 million among older children, and 0.97 million among adolescents. In 2013, the leading causes of death were lower respiratory tract infections among younger children (905.059 deaths; 95% UI, 810,304-998,125), diarrheal diseases among older children (38,325 deaths; 95% UI, 30,365-47,678), and road injuries among adolescents (115,186 deaths; 95% UI, 105,185-124,870). Iron deficiency anemia was the leading cause of years lived with disability among children and adolescents, affecting 619 (95% UI, 618-621) million in 2013. Large between-country variations exist in mortality from leading causes among children and adolescents. Countries with rapid declines in all-cause mortality between 1990 and 2013 also experienced large declines in most leading causes of death, whereas countries with the slowest declines had stagnant or increasing trends in the leading causes of death. In 2013, Nigeria had a 12% global share of deaths from lower respiratory tract infections and a 38% global share of deaths from malaria. India had 33% of the world's deaths from neonatal encephalopathy. Half of the world's diarrheal deaths among children and adolescents occurred in just 5 countries: India, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Pakistan, Nigeria, and Ethiopia.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Understanding the levels and trends of the leading causes of death and disability among children and adolescents is critical to guide investment and inform policies. Monitoring these trends over time is also key to understanding where interventions are having an impact. Proven interventions exist to prevent or treat the leading causes of unnecessary death and disability among children and adolescents. The findings presented here show that these are underused and give guidance to policy makers in countries where more attention is needed.

摘要

重要性

文献主要关注5岁以下儿童的死亡率。关于这些儿童非致命健康结果以及年龄较大儿童和青少年疾病与伤害的致命和非致命负担的可比信息稀缺。

目的

确定1990年至2013年期间,来自全球疾病负担(GBD)2013研究的188个国家中,年幼儿童(年龄<5岁)、较大儿童(年龄5 - 9岁)和青少年(年龄10 - 19岁)疾病与伤害的致命和非致命负担水平及趋势。

证据综述

使用来自生命登记、口头尸检研究、母婴死亡监测及其他来源的数据,涵盖1980年至2013年的14,244个地点 - 年(即按地理区域划分的死因数据年份)来估计特定病因死亡率。在GBD 2013研究中,使用来自35,620个流行病学来源的数据来估计疾病及后遗症的患病率。大多数病因的特定病因死亡率采用死因综合模型策略进行估计。对于一些疾病过程复杂或死因数据不足或无法获取的传染病(如艾滋病毒感染/艾滋病、麻疹、乙型肝炎),我们使用自然史模型。对于大多数非致命健康结果,使用贝叶斯元回归工具DisMod - MR 2.0对流行病学数据进行元分析以生成患病率估计值。

研究结果

2013年全球儿童和青少年死亡770万(95%不确定区间[UI],740 - 810万),其中年幼儿童死亡628万,较大儿童死亡48万,青少年死亡97万。2013年,年幼儿童的主要死因是下呼吸道感染(905,059例死亡;95% UI,810,304 - 998,125),较大儿童是腹泻病(38,325例死亡;95% UI,30,365 - 47,678),青少年是道路伤害(115,186例死亡;95% UI,105,185 - 124,870)。缺铁性贫血是儿童和青少年残疾生存年数的主要原因,2013年影响6.19亿(95% UI,6.18 - 6.21亿)人。儿童和青少年主要死因的死亡率在不同国家间存在很大差异。1990年至2013年期间全因死亡率快速下降的国家,大多数主要死因的死亡率也大幅下降,而下降最慢的国家,主要死因呈停滞或上升趋势。2013年,尼日利亚下呼吸道感染死亡占全球的12%,疟疾死亡占全球的38%。印度新生儿脑病死亡占世界的33%。全球儿童和青少年腹泻死亡的一半仅发生在5个国家:印度、刚果民主共和国、巴基斯坦、尼日利亚和埃塞俄比亚。

结论与意义

了解儿童和青少年主要死因及残疾的水平和趋势对于指导投资和制定政策至关重要。长期监测这些趋势也是了解干预措施产生影响的关键所在。存在已证实的干预措施来预防或治疗儿童和青少年不必要死亡及残疾的主要原因。此处呈现的研究结果表明这些措施未得到充分利用,并为需要更多关注的国家的政策制定者提供指导。

相似文献

引用本文的文献

2
Self-Reported Late Effects in Childhood Cancer Survivors in Kenya.
Afr Health Sci. 2024 Sep;24(3):230-241. doi: 10.4314/ahs.v24i3.27.
3
Global burden of children and adolescents' nutritional deficiencies from 1990 to 2021.
Front Pediatr. 2025 Jul 8;13:1583167. doi: 10.3389/fped.2025.1583167. eCollection 2025.
5
Integrating Global Health Concepts into Pediatric Emergency Medicine Training and Practice: A Narrative Review.
Sage Open Pediatr. 2025 Jun 14;12:30502225251337535. doi: 10.1177/30502225251337535. eCollection 2025 Jan-Dec.
8
Construction and verification of a risk factor prediction model for neonatal severe pneumonia.
Front Med (Lausanne). 2025 Jun 2;12:1536705. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2025.1536705. eCollection 2025.
9
The critical immunoregulatory roles and molecular mechanisms of IL-10 and IL-18 genes in pneumonia and sepsis.
Medicine (Baltimore). 2025 Apr 18;104(16):e42104. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000042104.

本文引用的文献

1
Disability weights for the Global Burden of Disease 2013 study.
Lancet Glob Health. 2015 Nov;3(11):e712-23. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(15)00069-8.
5
Paraquat prohibition and change in the suicide rate and methods in South Korea.
PLoS One. 2015 Jun 2;10(6):e0128980. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0128980. eCollection 2015.
6
A heavy burden on young minds: the global burden of mental and substance use disorders in children and youth.
Psychol Med. 2015 May;45(7):1551-63. doi: 10.1017/S0033291714002888. Epub 2014 Dec 23.
8
A time for action: Opportunities for preventing the growing burden and disability from musculoskeletal conditions in low- and middle-income countries.
Best Pract Res Clin Rheumatol. 2014 Jun;28(3):377-93. doi: 10.1016/j.berh.2014.07.006. Epub 2014 Oct 22.
10
Epidemiology of HIV and AIDS among adolescents: current status, inequities, and data gaps.
J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2014 Jul 1;66 Suppl 2:S144-53. doi: 10.1097/QAI.0000000000000176.

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验