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在交通模拟器环境中检查黄灯时的驾驶员行为:随机参数和潜在类别逻辑模型的比较。

Examining driver behavior at the onset of yellow in a traffic simulator environment: Comparisons between random parameters and latent class logit models.

机构信息

Department of Civil, Construction & Environmental Engineering, Iowa State University, 482A Town Engineering, Ames, IA 50011-3234, USA.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2016 Nov;96:300-307. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2016.01.006. Epub 2016 Jan 24.

Abstract

This study involves an examination of driver behavior at the onset of a yellow signal indication. Behavioral data were obtained from a driving simulator study that was conducted through the National Advanced Driving Simulator (NADS) laboratory at the University of Iowa. These data were drawn from a series of events during which study participants drove through a series of intersections where the traffic signals changed from the green to yellow phase. The resulting dataset provides potential insights into how driver behavior is affected by distracted driving through an experimental design that alternated handheld, headset, and hands-free cell phone use with "normal" baseline driving events. The results of the study show that male drivers ages 18-45 were more likely to stop. Participants were also more likely to stop as they became more familiar with the simulator environment. Cell phone use was found to some influence on driver behavior in this setting, though the effects varied significantly across individuals. The study also demonstrates two methodological approaches for dealing with unobserved heterogeneity across drivers. These include random parameters and latent class logit models, each of which analyze the data as a panel. The results show each method to provide significantly better fit than a pooled, fixed parameter model. Differences in terms of the context of these two approaches are discussed, providing important insights as to the differences between these modeling frameworks.

摘要

本研究考察了驾驶员在黄色信号灯亮起时的行为。行为数据来自爱荷华大学国家高级驾驶模拟器(NADS)实验室进行的驾驶模拟器研究。这些数据来自一系列事件,研究参与者在这些事件中驾驶车辆穿过一系列交通信号灯从绿色变为黄色的路口。由此产生的数据集通过交替进行手持、头戴式和免提手机使用与“正常”基线驾驶事件的实验设计,提供了有关分心驾驶如何影响驾驶员行为的潜在见解。研究结果表明,年龄在 18 至 45 岁的男性驾驶员更有可能停车。随着参与者对模拟器环境越来越熟悉,他们也更有可能停车。研究还发现,在这种情况下,手机的使用会对驾驶员的行为产生一定的影响,尽管其影响在个体之间存在显著差异。研究还展示了两种处理驾驶员之间未观察到的异质性的方法。这些方法包括随机参数和潜在类别逻辑回归模型,每个模型都将数据作为面板进行分析。结果表明,每种方法的拟合度都明显优于汇总的固定参数模型。还讨论了这两种方法的上下文差异,为这些建模框架之间的差异提供了重要的见解。

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