Escuela Andaluza de Salud Publica, Granada, Granada, Spain.
CIBER de Epidemiologia y Salud Publica (CIBERESP), Granada, Granada, Spain.
Eur J Health Econ. 2017 Apr;18(3):313-320. doi: 10.1007/s10198-016-0774-5. Epub 2016 Mar 2.
Evidence from previous recessions suggests that at times of economic deterioration, suicides increase. Spain has been one of the European countries hardest hit by the financial crisis that started in 2008. The aim of this paper is to examine the impact of the double-dip recession in Spain on the most recent trends in suicide.
Suicide data from the years 2002-2012 were obtained from the 'Death Statistic according to Cause of Death' of the National Statistics Institute (NSI). Population figures were obtained from the population estimates of the NSI.
While the suicide rate decreased between 2002 and 2012, the downward trend has reversed twice, in 2008-2009, and in 2012. This rise was particularly pronounced in males, with the rate ratio of 1.12 (95 % CI 1.05-1.20) in 2008 and 1.10 (95 % CI 1.03-1.18) in 2009. Following a decrease in 2010 and 2011, suicides among males have increased again in 2012-with RR of 1.10 (95 % CI 1.03-1.18) compared to 2007, however the difference between 2011 amounted to 14 % rise-the biggest interannual change in a decade. There was a similar but less pronounced pattern in females. Regional data showed variable results.
These results suggest that the Spanish economic crisis has been associated with suicide rates in 2008, 2009, and 2012. These findings are consistent with the double-dip recession that Spain experienced.
以往经济衰退的证据表明,在经济恶化时期,自杀人数会增加。西班牙是受 2008 年开始的金融危机打击最严重的欧洲国家之一。本文旨在研究西班牙的双底衰退对最近自杀趋势的影响。
自杀数据来自国家统计局(NSI)的“根据死因统计的死亡统计”,获取年份为 2002-2012 年。人口数据来自 NSI 的人口估计。
尽管自杀率在 2002 年至 2012 年间有所下降,但下降趋势已在 2008-2009 年和 2012 年两次逆转。这种上升在男性中尤为明显,2008 年的率比为 1.12(95%可信区间为 1.05-1.20),2009 年为 1.10(95%可信区间为 1.03-1.18)。继 2010 年和 2011 年下降后,男性自杀人数在 2012 年再次上升,与 2007 年相比,RR 为 1.10(95%可信区间为 1.03-1.18),但与 2011 年相比,自杀人数增加了 14%,这是十年来最大的年度变化。女性也出现了类似但不太明显的模式。区域数据显示出不同的结果。
这些结果表明,西班牙经济危机与 2008 年、2009 年和 2012 年的自杀率有关。这些发现与西班牙经历的双底衰退一致。