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大量工作产生诸多强化物的经历导致鸽子出现沉没成本谬误:一项初步测试。

Experience that Much Work Produces Many Reinforcers Makes the Sunk Cost Fallacy in Pigeons: A Preliminary Test.

作者信息

Fujimaki Shun, Sakagami Takayuki

机构信息

Department of Psychology, Keio UniversityTokyo, Japan; Japan Society for the Promotion of ScienceTokyo, Japan.

Department of Psychology, Keio University Tokyo, Japan.

出版信息

Front Psychol. 2016 Mar 16;7:363. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2016.00363. eCollection 2016.

DOI:10.3389/fpsyg.2016.00363
PMID:27014166
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4792888/
Abstract

The sunk cost fallacy is one of the irrational choice behaviors robustly observed in humans. This fallacy can be defined as a preference for a higher-cost alternative to a lower-cost one after previous investment in a higher-cost alternative. The present study examined this irrational choice by exposing pigeons to several types of trials with differently illuminated colors. We prepared three types of non-choice trials for experiencing different outcomes after presenting same or different colors as alternatives and three types of choice trials for testing whether pigeons demonstrated irrational choice. In non-choice trials, animals experienced either of the following: (1) no reinforcement after the presentation of an unrelated colored stimulus to the alternatives used in the choice situation, (2) no reinforcement after investment in the lower-cost alternative, or (3) reinforcement or no reinforcement after investment in the higher-cost alternative. In choice trials, animals were required to choose in the following three situations: (A) higher-cost vs. lower-cost alternatives, (B) higher-cost vs. lower-cost ones after some investment in the higher-cost alternative, and (C) higher-cost vs. lower-cost alternatives after the presentation of an unrelated colored stimulus. From the definition of the sunk cost fallacy, we assumed that animals would exhibit this fallacy if they preferred the higher-cost alternative in situation (B) compared with (A) or (C). We made several conditions, each of which comprised various combinations of three types of non-choice trials and tested their preference in three choice trials. Pigeons committed the sunk cost fallacy only in the condition that contained non-choice trials (3), i.e., pigeons experienced reinforcement after investing in the higher-cost alternative. This result suggests that sunk cost fallacy might be caused by the experiences of reinforcement after investing in the higher-cost alternative.

摘要

沉没成本谬误是在人类中被广泛观察到的非理性选择行为之一。这种谬误可以被定义为,在先前对成本较高的选项进行投资后,更倾向于选择成本较高的选项而非成本较低的选项。本研究通过让鸽子接触几种不同颜色光照的试验来检验这种非理性选择。我们准备了三种非选择试验,用于在呈现相同或不同颜色作为选项后体验不同的结果,以及三种选择试验,用于测试鸽子是否表现出非理性选择。在非选择试验中,动物经历以下情况之一:(1) 在呈现与选择情境中使用的选项无关的颜色刺激后没有强化;(2) 在对成本较低的选项进行投资后没有强化;(3) 在对成本较高的选项进行投资后有强化或没有强化。在选择试验中,要求动物在以下三种情况下进行选择:(A) 成本较高的选项与成本较低的选项;(B) 在对成本较高的选项进行一定投资后,成本较高的选项与成本较低的选项;(C) 在呈现与选择情境中使用的选项无关的颜色刺激后,成本较高的选项与成本较低的选项。根据沉没成本谬误的定义,我们假设,如果动物在情况 (B) 中比在情况 (A) 或 (C) 中更倾向于选择成本较高的选项,那么它们就会表现出这种谬误。我们设定了几个条件,每个条件都包含三种非选择试验的不同组合,并在三种选择试验中测试它们的偏好。鸽子仅在包含非选择试验 (3) 的条件下出现了沉没成本谬误,即鸽子在对成本较高的选项进行投资后获得了强化。这一结果表明,沉没成本谬误可能是由对成本较高的选项进行投资后获得强化的经历所导致的。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1562/4792888/c76dfe5fc237/fpsyg-07-00363-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1562/4792888/58798ace516c/fpsyg-07-00363-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1562/4792888/db29ee2fe4fe/fpsyg-07-00363-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1562/4792888/a16490af3c0c/fpsyg-07-00363-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1562/4792888/6505a4fc45bf/fpsyg-07-00363-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1562/4792888/c76dfe5fc237/fpsyg-07-00363-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1562/4792888/58798ace516c/fpsyg-07-00363-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1562/4792888/db29ee2fe4fe/fpsyg-07-00363-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1562/4792888/a16490af3c0c/fpsyg-07-00363-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1562/4792888/6505a4fc45bf/fpsyg-07-00363-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1562/4792888/c76dfe5fc237/fpsyg-07-00363-g005.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
The effect of a prior investment on choice: the sunk cost effect.先前投资对选择的影响:沉没成本效应。
J Exp Psychol Anim Learn Cogn. 2014 Jan;40(1):22-37. doi: 10.1037/xan0000007.
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Varying the costs of sunk costs: optimal and non-optimal choices in a sunk-cost task with humans.改变沉没成本的成本:人类沉没成本任务中的最优和非最优选择。
J Exp Anal Behav. 2013 Sep;100(2):165-73. doi: 10.1002/jeab.42. Epub 2013 Aug 23.
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Sunk cost and work ethic effects reflect suboptimal choice between different work requirements.沉没成本和职业道德效应反映了在不同工作要求之间的次优选择。
Behav Processes. 2013 Mar;94:55-9. doi: 10.1016/j.beproc.2012.12.003. Epub 2012 Dec 27.
4
The sunk cost effect with pigeons: some determinants of decisions about persistence.鸽子的沉没成本效应:一些决定坚持与否的因素。
J Exp Anal Behav. 2012 Jan;97(1):85-100. doi: 10.1901/jeab.2012.97-85.
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Providing a reinforcement history that reduces the sunk cost effect.提供一种能降低沉没成本效应的强化历史。
Behav Processes. 2012 Mar;89(3):212-8. doi: 10.1016/j.beproc.2011.11.001. Epub 2011 Nov 19.
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Suboptimal choice in nonhuman animals: rats commit the sunk cost error.非人类动物的次优选择:大鼠会犯沉没成本错误。
Learn Behav. 2012 Jun;40(2):195-206. doi: 10.3758/s13420-011-0055-1.
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Sunk cost: pigeons (Columba livia), too, show bias to complete a task rather than shift to another.沉没成本:鸽子(家鸽)也表现出倾向于完成一项任务而不是转向另一项任务的偏好。
J Comp Psychol. 2012 Feb;126(1):1-9. doi: 10.1037/a0023826. Epub 2011 May 16.
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Preference for mixed- versus fixed-ratio schedules.对混合比率与固定比率时间表的偏好。
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A sequential learning analysis of decisions in organizations to escalate investments despite continuing costs or losses.组织中连续学习分析决策,即在持续成本或损失的情况下增加投资。
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