Michael G. Foster School of Business, University of Washington, Seattle.
Cogn Sci. 2009 Jan;33(1):105-13. doi: 10.1111/j.1551-6709.2008.01005.x.
Although the sunk-cost effect is a well-documented psychological phenomenon in monetary investments, existing literature investigating behavioral investments (e.g., time, effort) has not replicated this effect except when such investments relate to monetary values. The current explanation for this discrepancy proposes that purely behavioral sunk-cost effects are unlikely to be observed because they are difficult to book, track, and balance in a mental account. Conversely, we argue that, through an effort-justification mechanism, people account for the amount of behavioral resources invested when selecting an alternative, in which case they may fall prey to purely behavioral sunk-cost effects. The results of two experiments support this prediction. Because many decisions involve behavioral investments, behavioral sunk-cost effects should be pervasive psychological phenomena.
尽管沉没成本效应在货币投资中是一种被充分记录的心理现象,但现有的关于行为投资(例如时间、精力)的研究文献除了在这些投资与货币价值相关时外,并未复制出这种效应。对于这种差异,当前的解释认为,纯粹的行为沉没成本效应不太可能被观察到,因为它们很难在心理账户中记录、跟踪和平衡。相反,我们认为,通过努力合理化机制,人们在选择替代方案时会考虑投入的行为资源量,在这种情况下,他们可能会受到纯粹的行为沉没成本效应的影响。两项实验的结果支持了这一预测。由于许多决策都涉及行为投资,因此行为沉没成本效应应该是普遍存在的心理现象。