Predictors of sustained ventricular tachycardia inducibility in patients with nonsustained ventricular tachycardia and chronic coronary artery disease.

To assess the likelihood of inducing sustained ventricular tachycardia, we analyzed a cohort of 58 retrospective and 18 prospective patients with chronic coronary artery disease who underwent electrophysiologic study because of spontaneous nonsustained ventricular tachycardia (three or more beats, lasting less than 30 seconds, at a rate greater than 100/min). In 24 of the 58 retrospective patients (41%) sustained ventricular tachycardia was inducible. Stepwise logistic regression identified two "major" variables--left ventricular aneurysm/dyskinesis/akinesis (p = 0.0001; relative risk = 11.88) and ejection fraction less than 40% (p = 0.0002; relative risk = 9.69)--and one "minor" variable--nonsustained ventricular tachycardia longer than 10 beats (p = 0.0151; relative risk = 4.21)--as significant predictors of inducibility. Nineteen patients with both major variables had a high probability of inducibility (greater than 90%). Nineteen patients with neither major variable had a low probability of inducibility (less than 5%). The remaining 20 patients with only one of the major variables had an intermediate probability of inducibility (14% to 75%). The significance of the third minor factor, nonsustained ventricular tachycardia longer than 10 beats, was confined to this intermediate group, in which it could be used to segregate relatively high (65% to 75%) and relatively low (14% to 20%) probability of inducibility. Prospective application of the predictor function stratified 18 additional patients into three groups with high (six patients), intermediate (seven patients), and low (five patients) probability of inducibility. The observed rate of inducibility in each group was 5 of 6 (83%), 2 of 7 (29%), and 0 of 5 (0%), respectively. These data suggest that patients with nonsustained ventricular tachycardia and chronic coronary artery disease can be stratified into subgroups with high, intermediate, and low probability of inducibility of sustained ventricular tachycardia on the basis of ejection fraction and regional ventricular wall motion defects alone.