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日本2010年口蹄疫疫情导致动物种群扑杀后,重启养殖犹豫不决相关因素的分析。

Analysis of factors associated with hesitation to restart farming after depopulation of animals due to 2010 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Japan.

作者信息

Kadowaki Hazumu, Kayano Taishi, Tobinaga Takaharu, Tsutsumi Atsuro, Watari Michiko, Makita Kohei

机构信息

Veterinary Epidemiology Unit, Division of Health and Environment Sciences, Department of Veterinary Medicine, School of Veterinary Medicine, Rakuno Gakuen University, 582 Bunkyodai Midorimachi, Ebetsu, Hokkaido 069-8501, Japan.

出版信息

J Vet Med Sci. 2016 Sep 1;78(8):1251-9. doi: 10.1292/jvms.15-0559. Epub 2016 Apr 28.

Abstract

An outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) occurred in Miyazaki Prefecture, Japan, in 2010. This epidemic was controlled with culling and vaccination, and resulted in the death of nearly 290,000 animals. This paper describes the factors associated with hesitation to restart farming after the epidemic. A questionnaire survey was conducted to assess the mental health of farmers one year after the end of the FMD epidemic in affected areas, and univariate and multivariable analyses were performed. Of 773 farms which had answered the question about restart farming, 55.4% (428/773) had resumed or were planning to resume operation. The farms hesitated restarting were characterized by small scale (P=0.06) and having multiple sources of income (P<0.01). Personal attributes associated with hesitation to restart were advanced age of the owner (P<0.01), with someone with bad physical conditions (P=0.04) and small family size (P<0.01). Factors related to disease control during the epidemic that were associated with hesitation to restart were vaccination of animals (P<0.01), not assisting with culling on other farms (P<0.01), and higher satisfaction with information provided by the government (P=0.02). We found that farmers hesitated to resume farming because they had a limited labor force, had an alternative business or were mentally distressed during disease control.

摘要

2010年,日本宫崎县发生了口蹄疫疫情。通过扑杀和疫苗接种控制了疫情,导致近29万头牲畜死亡。本文描述了疫情结束后农民对重新开始养殖犹豫不决的相关因素。在受影响地区口蹄疫疫情结束一年后,进行了问卷调查以评估农民的心理健康状况,并进行了单变量和多变量分析。在773个回答了有关重新开始养殖问题的农场中,55.4%(428/773)已经恢复或计划恢复运营。犹豫重新开始养殖的农场特点是规模小(P=0.06)和有多种收入来源(P<0.01)。与犹豫重新开始相关的个人属性包括农场主年龄较大(P<0.01)、身体状况不佳(P=0.04)和家庭规模小(P<0.01)。疫情期间与疾病控制相关且与犹豫重新开始有关的因素包括动物接种疫苗(P<0.01)、不协助其他农场扑杀(P<0.01)以及对政府提供信息的满意度较高(P=0.02)。我们发现,农民之所以犹豫是否恢复养殖,是因为他们劳动力有限、有其他业务或在疾病控制期间精神痛苦。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6021/5053925/0d7c3ef1207a/jvms-78-1251-g001.jpg

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