希腊 1992-2012 年的自杀情况：时间序列分析。

Suicide in Greece 1992-2012: A time-series analysis.

机构信息

First Department of Psychiatry, Eginition Hospital, University of Athens, Athens, Greece.

Second Department of Psychiatry, Attikon General Hospital, University of Athens, Athens, Greece.

出版信息

Int J Soc Psychiatry. 2016 Aug;62(5):471-6. doi: 10.1177/0020764016647753. Epub 2016 May 9.

DOI:10.1177/0020764016647753

PMID:27160589

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Since 2008, Greece has entered a long period of economic crisis with adverse effects on various aspects of daily life. In this frame, it is quite important to examine the suicide trends in Greece.

METHOD

Our analysis covered the period 1992-2012. 2012 was the last year for which official suicide data were available. The inclusion of data for pre-crisis period enabled us to assess trends in suicide preceding the economic crisis, starting in 2008. Trends in sex- and age-adjusted standardized suicide rates (SSR) were analyzed using joinpoint regression.

RESULTS

Total SSR presented statistically significant annual decrease of 0.89% (95% confidence interval (CI): -1.7, -0.1) during the period 1992-2008. After 2009, the trend in total SSR increased statistically significant annual increase (12.48%; 95% CI: 0.3%, 26.1%). SSR in males presented an initial period of modest annual decrease (-0.84%; 95% CI: -1.6%, -0.1%), during the period 1992-2008. After 2009, an annual increase by 9.25% (95% CI: 2.7%, 16.3%) was revealed. No change in female SSR trend was observed during the studied period.

CONCLUSION

According to the results of this study, there is clear evidence of an increase in the overall SSR and male SSR in Greece during the period of the current financial crisis.

摘要

背景与目的

自 2008 年以来，希腊进入了一场长期的经济危机，对日常生活的各个方面都产生了不利影响。在这种情况下，研究希腊的自杀趋势非常重要。

方法

我们的分析涵盖了 1992 年至 2012 年期间。2012 年是可获得官方自杀数据的最后一年。纳入危机前时期的数据使我们能够评估始于 2008 年的经济危机前自杀趋势。使用 Joinpoint 回归分析了性别和年龄调整后的标准化自杀率（SSR）趋势。

结果

1992 年至 2008 年期间，总 SSR 呈现出统计学上显著的每年下降 0.89%（95%置信区间（CI）：-1.7，-0.1）。2009 年后，总 SSR 的趋势呈现出统计学上显著的每年增加 12.48%（95% CI：0.3%，26.1%）。男性 SSR 呈现出初期适度的每年下降（-0.84%；95% CI：-1.6%，-0.1%），1992 年至 2008 年期间。2009 年后，每年增加 9.25%（95% CI：2.7%，16.3%）。在研究期间，女性 SSR 趋势没有变化。