Evaluative Epidemiology Unit, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Evaluative Epidemiology Unit, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Lancet Oncol. 2016 Jul;17(7):896-906. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(16)00162-5. Epub 2016 May 26.
Data from EUROCARE have consistently shown lower survival for adolescents and young adults (AYAs; aged 15-24 years) than for children (0-14 years) for most cancers that affect both groups, and modest survival improvements up to 2000-02. AYAs have longer survival than that of adults for most cancers. We used the latest definition of AYAs (aged 15-39 years) and provided estimates of 5-year relative survival for European AYAs with cancer diagnosed in 2000-07, compared with children and adults (40-69 years) with cancer, and assessed survival improvements over time.
We analysed data from population-based cancer registries of 27 European countries participating in EUROCARE-5. We used the so-called complete method to estimate 5-year, population-weighted relative survival for 19 cancers affecting AYAs and children, and for 27 cancers affecting AYAs and adults. We assessed relative-survival differences between children versus AYAs, and between AYAs versus adults, using the Z test. We used the period approach to estimate 5-year relative survival over time for children and AYAs, and used a generalised linear model to model survival time trends (1999-2007) and to assess the significance of changes over time.
We analysed 56 505 cancer diagnoses in children, 312 483 in AYAs, and 3 567 383 in adults. For all cancers combined, survival improved over time for AYAs (from 79% [95% CI 78·1-80·5] in 1999-2002 to 82% [81·1-83·3] in 2005-07; p<0·0001) and children (from 76% [74·7-77·1] to 79% [77·2-79·4]; p<0·0001). Survival improved significantly in children and AYAs for acute lymphoid leukaemia (p<0·0001) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (p<0·0001 in AYAs and p=0·023 in children). Survival improved significantly in AYAs only for CNS tumours (p=0·0046), astrocytomas (p=0·040), and malignant melanomas (p<0·0001). Survival remained significantly worse in AYAs than in children for eight important cancers: acute lymphoid leukaemias, acute myeloid leukaemias, Hodgkin's lymphomas, non-Hodgkin lymphomas, astrocytomas, Ewing's sarcomas, and rhabdomyosarcomas (p<0·0001 in all cases), and osteosarcomas (p=0·011).
Notwithstanding the encouraging results for some cancers, and overall, we showed poorer survival in AYAs than in children for the eight important cancers. Recent European initiatives to improve outcomes in AYAs might reduce the survival gap between children and AYAs, but this reduction can only be verified by future population-based studies.
Italian Ministry of Health, European Commission.
EUROCARE 的数据一直显示,在大多数影响青少年和年轻人(15-24 岁)和儿童(0-14 岁)的癌症中,青少年和年轻人的生存率低于儿童,直到 2000-02 年略有改善。对于大多数癌症,青少年的生存时间长于成年人。我们使用了最新的 AYA 定义(15-39 岁),并提供了 2000-07 年诊断的欧洲 AYA 癌症患者的 5 年相对生存率估计值,与儿童和成年人(40-69 岁)癌症进行比较,并评估了随时间的生存改善情况。
我们分析了参与 EUROCARE-5 的 27 个欧洲国家的基于人群的癌症登记处的数据。我们使用所谓的完整方法,估计了 19 种影响 AYA 和儿童的癌症和 27 种影响 AYA 和成年人的癌症的 5 年、人群加权相对生存率。我们使用 Z 检验来评估儿童与 AYA 之间以及 AYA 与成年人之间的相对生存率差异。我们使用时期方法来估计儿童和 AYA 的 5 年相对生存率,并使用广义线性模型来模拟生存时间趋势(1999-2007 年),并评估随时间的变化的显著性。
我们分析了 56505 例儿童癌症、312483 例 AYA 癌症和 3567383 例成人癌症的诊断。对于所有癌症,青少年的生存率随时间而提高(从 1999-2002 年的 79%[95%CI 78.1-80.5]提高到 2005-07 年的 82%[81.1-83.3];p<0.0001)和儿童(从 76%[74.7-77.1]提高到 79%[77.2-79.4];p<0.0001)。急性淋巴细胞白血病(p<0.0001)和非霍奇金淋巴瘤(p<0.0001 于 AYA,p=0.023 于儿童)的儿童和 AYA 的生存率显著提高。只有中枢神经系统肿瘤(p=0.0046)、星形细胞瘤(p=0.040)和恶性黑色素瘤(p<0.0001)的 AYA 生存率显著提高。八种重要癌症的 AYA 生存率仍显著差于儿童:急性淋巴细胞白血病、急性髓细胞白血病、霍奇金淋巴瘤、非霍奇金淋巴瘤、星形细胞瘤、尤因氏肉瘤和横纹肌肉瘤(所有病例均 p<0.0001)和骨肉瘤(p=0.011)。
尽管某些癌症的结果令人鼓舞,而且总体上,我们发现 AYA 的生存率比儿童差,但在八种重要癌症中。最近欧洲为改善 AYA 结果而采取的举措可能会缩小儿童和 AYA 之间的生存差距,但这一缩小只能通过未来的基于人群的研究来验证。
意大利卫生部,欧盟委员会。