Scali Salvatore T, Runge Sara J, Feezor Robert J, Giles Kristina A, Fatima Javairiah, Berceli Scott A, Huber Thomas S, Beck Adam W
Division of Vascular Surgery and Endovascular Therapy, University of Florida College of Medicine, Gainesville, Fla.
Division of Vascular Surgery and Endovascular Therapy, University of Florida College of Medicine, Gainesville, Fla.
J Vasc Surg. 2016 Aug;64(2):338-347. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2016.02.028. Epub 2016 Jun 7.
Open conversion after endovascular aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR-c) is performed nonelectively in up to 60% of cases. EVAR-c has been reported to have significantly greater risk of postoperative morbidity and mortality than primary aortic repair, but few data exist on outcomes for symptomatic or ruptured presentations. This study determined outcomes and identified predictors of postoperative major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) and mortality for patients undergoing nonelective EVAR-c compared with nonelective primary aortic repair (PAR) in the Vascular Quality Initiative (VQI).
All VQI patients undergoing urgent/emergency EVAR-c or urgent/emergency PAR from 2002 to 2014 were reviewed. Urgent presentation was defined by repair ≤24 hours of a nonelective admission, and emergency operations had clinical or radiographic evidence, or both, of rupture. End points included in-hospital MACE (myocardial infarction, dysrhythmia, congestive heart failure) and 30-day mortality. Possible covariates identified on univariate analysis (P < .2) were entered into a multivariable model, and stepwise elimination identified the best subset of predictors. Generalized estimating equations logistic regression analysis was used to determine the relative effect of EVAR-c compared with PAR on outcomes.
During the study interval, we identified 277 EVAR-c, and 118 (43%) underwent urgent/emergency repair. nonelective PAR was performed in 1388 of 6152 total (23%). EVAR-c patients were older (75 ± 9 vs 71 ± 10 years; P < .0001), more likely to be male (84% vs 74%; P = .02), and had a higher prevalence of hypertension (88% vs 79%; P = .02) and coronary artery disease (38% vs 27%; P = .01). No differences in MACE (EVAR-c, 31% [n = 34] vs PAR, 30% [n = 398]) or any major postoperative complication (EVAR-c, 57% [n = 63] vs PAR, 55% [n = 740]; P = .8) were found; however, 30-day mortality was significantly greater in EVAR-c (37% [n = 41]) than in (PAR, 24% [n = 291]; P = .003), with an odds ratio (OR) of 2.2 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-4.77; P = .04) for EVAR-c. Predictors of any MACE included age (OR, × 1.03 for each additional year; 95% CI, 1.01-1.03; P = .0002), male gender (OR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.03-1.67; P = .03), body mass index ≤20 kg/m (OR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.13-2.87; P = .01), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 0.86-1.80; P = .25), congestive heart failure (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 0.98-2.34; P = .06), preoperative chronic β-blocker use (OR, 1.3; 95% CI, 0.97-1.63; P = .09), and emergency presentation (OR, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.8-3.01; area under the curve, 0.70; P < .0001). Significant predictors for 30-day mortality were age (OR × 1.07 for each additional year; 95% CI, 1.05-1.09; P < .0001), female gender (OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.01-2.46; P = .04), preoperative creatinine >1.8 mg/dL (OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.04-2.35; P = .03), an emergency presentation (OR, 4.8; 95% CI, 2.93-7.93; P < .0001), and renal/visceral ischemia (OR, × 1.1 for each unit increase log (time-minutes); 95% CI, 1.02-1.22; area under the curve, 0.84; P = .01).
Nonelective EVAR-c patients are older and have higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors than PAR patients. Similar rates of postoperative complications occur; however, urgent/emergency EVAR-c has a significantly higher risk of 30-day mortality than nonelective PAR. Several variables are identified that predict outcomes after these repairs and may help risk stratify patients to further inform clinical decision making when patients present nonelectively with EVAR failure.
在高达60%的病例中,血管腔内修复术后转为开放手术(EVAR-c)是非选择性进行的。据报道,与初次主动脉修复相比,EVAR-c术后发生并发症和死亡的风险显著更高,但关于有症状或破裂表现的患者的预后数据较少。本研究确定了在血管质量倡议(VQI)中接受非选择性EVAR-c与非选择性初次主动脉修复(PAR)的患者的术后主要不良心脏事件(MACE)和死亡率的预后情况,并确定了预测因素。
回顾了2002年至2014年期间所有接受紧急/急诊EVAR-c或紧急/急诊PAR的VQI患者。紧急情况定义为在非选择性入院后≤24小时内进行修复,急诊手术有临床或影像学证据,或两者均有破裂证据。终点包括住院期间的MACE(心肌梗死、心律失常、充血性心力衰竭)和30天死亡率。单因素分析(P <.2)中确定的可能协变量被纳入多变量模型,并通过逐步消除确定最佳预测因子子集。使用广义估计方程逻辑回归分析来确定EVAR-c与PAR相比对预后的相对影响。
在研究期间,我们确定了277例EVAR-c患者,其中118例(43%)接受了紧急/急诊修复。在6152例患者中,1388例(23%)进行了非选择性PAR。EVAR-c患者年龄更大(75±9岁 vs 71±10岁;P <.0001),男性比例更高(84% vs 74%;P =.02),高血压患病率更高(88% vs 79%;P =.02),冠状动脉疾病患病率更高(38% vs 27%;P =.01)。未发现MACE(EVAR-c组为31% [n = 34],PAR组为30% [n = 398])或任何主要术后并发症(EVAR-c组为57% [n = 63],PAR组为55% [n = 740];P =.8)存在差异;然而,EVAR-c组的30天死亡率显著高于PAR组(37% [n = 41] 对PAR组的24% [n = 291];P =.003),EVAR-c组的比值比(OR)为2.2(95%置信区间[CI],1.04 - 4.77;P =.04)。任何MACE的预测因素包括年龄(每增加一岁OR为×1.03;95% CI,1.01 - 1.03;P =.0002)、男性性别(OR,1.3;95% CI,1.03 - 1.67;P =.03)、体重指数≤20 kg/m(OR,1.8;95% CI,1.13 - 2.87;P =.01)、慢性阻塞性肺疾病(OR,1.2;95% CI,0.86 - 1.80;P =.25)、充血性心力衰竭(OR,1.5;95% CI,0.98 - 2.34;P =.06)、术前长期使用β受体阻滞剂(OR,1.3;95% CI,0.97 - 1.63;P =.09)和急诊情况(OR,2.3;95% CI,1.8 - 3.01;曲线下面积,0.70;P <.0001)。30天死亡率的显著预测因素为年龄(每增加一岁OR为×1.07;95% CI,1.05 - 1.09;P <.0001)、女性性别(OR,1.6;95% CI,1.01 - 2.46;P =.04)、术前肌酐>1.8 mg/dL(OR,1.6;95% CI,1.04 - 2.35;P =.03)、急诊情况(OR,4.8;95% CI,2.93 - 7.93;P <.0001)以及肾/内脏缺血(每单位增加log(时间 - 分钟)OR为×1.1;95% CI,1.02 - 1.22;曲线下面积,0.84;P =.01)。
非选择性EVAR-c患者比PAR患者年龄更大,心血管危险因素患病率更高。术后并发症发生率相似;然而,紧急/急诊EVAR-c的30天死亡率显著高于非选择性PAR。确定了几个预测这些修复术后预后的变量,当患者非选择性出现EVAR失败时,这些变量可能有助于对患者进行风险分层,以进一步为临床决策提供信息。