Huang Fang, Chen Renjie, Shen Yuetian, Kan Haidong, Kuang Xingya
Department of Occupational Medicine, Yangpu Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200090, China.
Department of Occupational Medicine, Yangpu District Central Hospital, Shanghai 200090, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2016 Jun 23;13(7):627. doi: 10.3390/ijerph13070627.
There have been relatively few opportunities to examine the cardiovascular effects of an extreme air pollution event in China. We aimed to examine the impact of the 2013 Eastern China Smog occurring from 2 to 9 December 2013, on outpatient visits for coronary heart diseases (CHD) in a typical hospital in Shanghai, China. We used the over-dispersed, generalized additive model to estimate the relative risk (RR) of the 2013 Eastern China Smog on the outpatient visits by comparing the smog period (2-9 December 2013; 8 days) to the non-smog period (1 November-1 December 2013, and 10 December-28 February 2014; 112 days). This model also controlled for time trends, days of the week, holidays, and meteorological factors. A stratification analysis was performed to estimate sex- and age-specific RRs. The daily average PM2.5 (fine particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 μm) concentrations during the smog period were 212 μg/m³, which were three times higher than during the non-smog period (76 μg/m³). The smog in Eastern China in 2013 was significantly associated with an increased risk of outpatient visits for CHD. For example, the RR was 1.18 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.32) on lag 0 day. There were similar effects on males and females. Our analyses provided preliminary evidence that smog constituted a significant risk factor of CHD in China.
在中国,研究极端空气污染事件对心血管系统影响的机会相对较少。我们旨在研究2013年12月2日至9日发生在中国东部的雾霾天气,对中国上海一家典型医院冠心病门诊量的影响。我们使用过度离散的广义相加模型,通过比较雾霾期(2013年12月2日至9日;8天)和非雾霾期(2013年11月1日至12月1日,以及2014年12月10日至2月28日;112天),来估计2013年中国东部雾霾对门诊量的相对风险(RR)。该模型还控制了时间趋势、星期几、节假日和气象因素。进行了分层分析以估计性别和年龄特异性RR。雾霾期间的日均PM2.5(空气动力学直径小于2.5μm的细颗粒物)浓度为212μg/m³,是非雾霾期(76μg/m³)的三倍。2013年中国东部的雾霾与冠心病门诊量增加的风险显著相关。例如,滞后0天时RR为1.18(95%CI:1.04,1.32)。对男性和女性有类似影响。我们的分析提供了初步证据,表明雾霾是中国冠心病的一个重要危险因素。