Shephard R W, Williams S H, Beckett S D
Herd Health Pty Ltd, 65 Beet Road, Maffra, Victoria, 3860, Australia.
Scott Williams Consulting, Creswick, VIC, Australia.
Aust Vet J. 2016 Jul;94(7):232-9. doi: 10.1111/avj.12455.
To determine the farm economic impact of bovine Johne's disease (BJD) infection and controls in commercial Victorian dairy herds.
Benefit-cost analysis of BJD and various control methods in a Victorian dairy herd.
Farm losses from BJD occurred from clinical disease. Clinical cases occur on average in 5-year-old cows, resulting in losses of A$1895 in the year of culling and A$221 in the year preceding culling, giving a total loss of A$2116. Early removal also resulted in loss of future profit equating to A$375 per year. This is the annualised value of foregone future income and costs expressed as a net present value (NPV). The total loss from removal of a clinical case was estimated as A$2491. The average clinical incidence in infected dairy herds prior to entry into the Victorian Bovine Johne's Test-and-Control Program (TCP) was 1.8% and the average Victorian dairy herd size was 262 cows in 2013-14, resulting in annual losses of 4.7 clinical cases if infected and implementing no BJD control. Farm annual loss of profit was estimated as A$11,748 ($44.84 per cow/year). Control of BJD using vaccination, test-and-cull or combined approaches was economical but the cost of implementation in initial years would exceed disease costs. Vaccination-based control provided minimal long-term losses and was the most cost-effective control over a 10-year planning horizon.
Endemic BJD resulted in modest but persistent losses in typical infected dairy herds. Control of disease using test-and-cull, vaccination or combined test-and-cull with vaccination was cost-effective.
确定牛约翰氏病(BJD)感染及防控措施对维多利亚州商业化奶牛场的经济影响。
对维多利亚州一个奶牛场的BJD及各种防控方法进行效益成本分析。
BJD导致的农场损失源于临床疾病。临床病例平均发生在5岁的奶牛身上,淘汰当年造成1895澳元的损失,淘汰前一年造成221澳元的损失,总计损失2116澳元。早期淘汰还导致未来利润损失,相当于每年375澳元。这是以净现值(NPV)表示的未来收入和成本损失的年化价值。淘汰一例临床病例的总损失估计为2491澳元。在加入维多利亚州牛约翰氏病检测与防控计划(TCP)之前,受感染奶牛场的平均临床发病率为1.8%,2013 - 2014年维多利亚州奶牛场平均规模为262头奶牛,若感染且未实施BJD防控措施,每年将有4.7例临床病例损失。农场年利润损失估计为11748澳元(每头奶牛每年44.84澳元)。使用疫苗接种、检测与扑杀或联合方法控制BJD在经济上是可行的,但最初几年的实施成本将超过疾病成本。基于疫苗接种的防控措施长期损失最小,在10年规划期内是最具成本效益的防控方法。
地方性BJD在典型受感染奶牛场造成适度但持续的损失。使用检测与扑杀、疫苗接种或检测与扑杀联合疫苗接种的方法控制疾病具有成本效益。