Einiö Elina, Nisén Jessica, Martikainen Pekka
a University of Helsinki.
b University of Stockholm / Karolinska Institute.
Popul Stud (Camb). 2016 Jul;70(2):217-38. doi: 10.1080/00324728.2016.1195506. Epub 2016 Jun 30.
We investigated the association between number of offspring and later-life mortality of Finnish men and women born 1938-50, and whether the association was explained by living conditions in own childhood and adulthood, chronic conditions, fertility timing, and unobserved characteristics common to siblings. We used a longitudinal 1950 census sample to estimate mortality at ages 50-72. Relative to parents of two children, all-cause mortality is highest among childless men and women, and elevated among those with one child, independently of observed confounders. Fixed-effect models, which control for unobserved characteristics shared by siblings, clearly support these findings among men. Cardiovascular mortality is higher among men with no, one, or at least four children than among those with two. Living conditions in adulthood contribute to the association between the number of children and mortality to a greater extent than childhood background, and chronic conditions contribute to the excess mortality of the childless.
我们研究了1938年至1950年出生的芬兰男性和女性的子女数量与晚年死亡率之间的关联,以及这种关联是否可以由其童年和成年时期的生活条件、慢性病、生育时间以及兄弟姐妹共有的未观察到的特征来解释。我们使用了1950年的纵向人口普查样本,以估计50至72岁之间的死亡率。与育有两个孩子的父母相比,无子女的男性和女性的全因死亡率最高,育有一个孩子的人的全因死亡率也较高,且不受观察到的混杂因素影响。控制了兄弟姐妹共有的未观察到的特征的固定效应模型,在男性中明确支持了这些发现。没有孩子、有一个孩子或至少有四个孩子的男性的心血管死亡率高于有两个孩子的男性。成年时期的生活条件比童年背景在子女数量与死亡率之间的关联中起到更大作用,而慢性病则导致了无子女者的额外死亡率。