U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, 20192, USA.
U.S. Geological Survey, Menlo Park, CA, USA.
Glob Chang Biol. 2017 Mar;23(3):1109-1127. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13403. Epub 2016 Oct 15.
Permafrost peatlands store one-third of the total carbon (C) in the atmosphere and are increasingly vulnerable to thaw as high-latitude temperatures warm. Large uncertainties remain about C dynamics following permafrost thaw in boreal peatlands. We used a chronosequence approach to measure C stocks in forested permafrost plateaus (forest) and thawed permafrost bogs, ranging in thaw age from young (<10 years) to old (>100 years) from two interior Alaska chronosequences. Permafrost originally aggraded simultaneously with peat accumulation (syngenetic permafrost) at both sites. We found that upon thaw, C loss of the forest peat C is equivalent to ~30% of the initial forest C stock and is directly proportional to the prethaw C stocks. Our model results indicate that permafrost thaw turned these peatlands into net C sources to the atmosphere for a decade following thaw, after which post-thaw bog peat accumulation returned sites to net C sinks. It can take multiple centuries to millennia for a site to recover its prethaw C stocks; the amount of time needed for them to regain their prethaw C stocks is governed by the amount of C that accumulated prior to thaw. Consequently, these findings show that older peatlands will take longer to recover prethaw C stocks, whereas younger peatlands will exceed prethaw stocks in a matter of centuries. We conclude that the loss of sporadic and discontinuous permafrost by 2100 could result in a loss of up to 24 Pg of deep C from permafrost peatlands.
多年冻土泥炭地储存了大气中总碳 (C) 的三分之一,随着高纬度地区气温升高,它们越来越容易解冻。在北方泥炭地多年冻土解冻后,C 动态仍存在很大的不确定性。我们使用时间序列方法测量了来自阿拉斯加两个内陆时间序列的森林多年冻土高原(森林)和已解冻多年冻土沼泽中 C 储量,这些地点的解冻年龄从年轻(<10 年)到年老(>100 年)不等。最初,多年冻土与泥炭积累同时形成(同生多年冻土)。我们发现,在解冻后,森林泥炭 C 的 C 损失相当于初始森林 C 储量的约 30%,并与预解冻 C 储量直接成正比。我们的模型结果表明,多年冻土解冻使这些泥炭地在解冻后十年内成为大气的净 C 源,之后,后解冻沼泽泥炭积累使这些地点恢复为净 C 汇。一个地点需要数百年到数千年的时间才能恢复其预解冻 C 储量;它们需要多长时间才能恢复其预解冻 C 储量取决于解冻前积累的 C 量。因此,这些发现表明,较老的泥炭地需要更长的时间才能恢复预解冻 C 储量,而较年轻的泥炭地在几百年内就会超过预解冻 C 储量。我们的结论是,到 2100 年,零星和不连续多年冻土的消失可能导致多达 24 Pg 的深层 C 从多年冻土泥炭地中流失。