Liu Lee, Liu Kristen
Geography Program, School of Environmental, Physical and Applied Sciences, University of Central Missouri, Humphreys 225, Warrensburg, MO, 64093, USA.
Independent Scholar, 1210 E. 54th St., Chicago, IL, 60615, USA.
Int J Public Health. 2016 Sep;61(7):751-63. doi: 10.1007/s00038-016-0858-0. Epub 2016 Jul 14.
This study explored previously little-known cancer mortality trends with a focus on changes with age and sex differences in 16 countries.
Time series age-sex-specific cancer mortality, deaths from all causes, and population data were used for statistical description.
The cancer mortality rate (CMR) peaked and declined with age in 11 countries. CMRs appeared to peak earlier and decline more dramatically in earlier time periods rather than later periods and for males rather than females. CMR peaking could have possibly been historically delayed. Moreover, "percentage of deaths from cancer" (PDC) in all 16 countries plunged after about age 60. Middle-aged women may have higher CMRs than men. Premenopausal women may have higher PDCs than postmenopausal women.
The findings make significant contributions to the literature, though their interpretation and application have limitations due to data quality and availability. Future research should explore if and how the findings apply to other countries and time periods. Public health practitioners and policy makers should consider age-sex-specific strategies for more effective cancer control.
本研究探讨了此前鲜为人知的癌症死亡率趋势,重点关注16个国家中癌症死亡率随年龄和性别差异的变化情况。
采用时间序列特定年龄和性别的癌症死亡率、全因死亡人数及人口数据进行统计描述。
11个国家的癌症死亡率(CMR)随年龄增长先达到峰值后下降。在早期而非后期,男性而非女性的CMR似乎更早达到峰值且下降更为显著。CMR达到峰值的时间在历史上可能有所延迟。此外,所有16个国家中,癌症死亡百分比(PDC)在60岁左右后大幅下降。中年女性的CMR可能高于男性。绝经前女性的PDC可能高于绝经后女性。
这些发现对相关文献做出了重要贡献,尽管由于数据质量和可得性,其解释和应用存在局限性。未来研究应探讨这些发现是否以及如何适用于其他国家和时间段。公共卫生从业者和政策制定者应考虑针对特定年龄和性别的策略,以更有效地控制癌症。