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高龄老人的癌症发病率和死亡率:芬兰的一项全国性研究

Cancer Incidence and Mortality in the Oldest Old: A Nationwide Study in Finland.

作者信息

Tanskanen Tomas, Seppä Karri J M, Virtanen Anni, Malila Nea K, Pitkäniemi Janne M

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 2021 May 4;190(5):836-842. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwaa236.

Abstract

The world's population is aging rapidly. This study reports the burden of cancer in the "oldest old" (aged ≥85 years) in Finland, 1953-2017, and estimates age-specific cancer rates in the older population (65-99 years) for 1988-2017. The Finnish Cancer Registry provided data on all cancer diagnoses, cancer deaths, and other deaths in cancer patients in Finland for 1953-2017. Between 1953-1957 and 2013-2017, the proportion of incident cancers in those aged ≥85 years increased from 1.5% to 9.6% (597 to 15,360 new cases), and in 2013-2017, more new cancers were diagnosed at ages ≥85 years than ages <50 years. Cancer incidence and excess mortality attributable to cancer peaked at ages 85-94 years and declined subsequently, whereas cancer-specific mortality continued to increase or plateaued. Due to demographic changes, the number of new cancers in the oldest old has increased substantially in Finland, and currently nearly 1 in 10 cancers are diagnosed in this age group. The increasing cancer burden in the oldest old poses a major challenge for health care and needs to be addressed in designing clinical research and reporting of cancer registries. In older populations with competing risks of death, we propose excess cancer mortality as a measure of cancer-related mortality.

摘要

全球人口正在迅速老龄化。本研究报告了1953 - 2017年芬兰“最年长者”(年龄≥85岁)的癌症负担,并估计了1988 - 2017年老年人群(65 - 99岁)的特定年龄癌症发病率。芬兰癌症登记处提供了1953 - 2017年芬兰所有癌症诊断、癌症死亡以及癌症患者其他死亡的数据。在1953 - 1957年至2013 - 2017年期间,年龄≥85岁人群中新发癌症的比例从1.5%增至9.6%(新发病例从597例增至15360例),并且在2013 - 2017年,年龄≥85岁人群中诊断出的新发癌症比年龄<50岁人群更多。癌症发病率及归因于癌症的超额死亡率在85 - 94岁时达到峰值,随后下降,而癌症特异性死亡率持续上升或趋于平稳。由于人口结构变化,芬兰最年长者中的新发癌症数量大幅增加,目前该年龄组中每10例癌症诊断病例中就有近1例。最年长者中不断增加的癌症负担对医疗保健构成了重大挑战,在设计临床研究和癌症登记报告时需要加以应对。在存在死亡竞争风险的老年人群中,我们建议将超额癌症死亡率作为癌症相关死亡率的一项衡量指标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2278/8096474/cdf2a2c6c50d/kwaa236f1.jpg

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