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大小-速度偏差或大小-到达效应——车辆接近速度和到达时间的判断如何受到车辆大小的影响。

Size speed bias or size arrival effect-How judgments of vehicles' approach speed and time to arrival are influenced by the vehicles' size.

机构信息

Technische Universität Chemnitz, Chemnitz, Germany.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2016 Oct;95(Pt A):132-7. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2016.07.010. Epub 2016 Jul 16.

Abstract

Crashes at railway level crossings are a key problem for railway operations. It has been suggested that a potential explanation for such crashes might lie in a so-called size speed bias, which describes the phenomenon that observers underestimate the speed of larger objects, such as aircraft or trains. While there is some evidence that this size speed bias indeed exists, it is somewhat at odds with another well researched phenomenon, the size arrival effect. When asked to judge the time it takes an approaching object to arrive at a predefined position (time to arrival, TTA), observers tend to provide lower estimates for larger objects. In that case, road users' crossing decisions when confronted with larger vehicles should be rather conservative, which has been confirmed in multiple studies on gap acceptance. The aim of the experiment reported in this paper was to clarify the relationship between size speed bias and size arrival effect. Employing a relative judgment task, both speed and TTA estimates were assessed for virtual depictions of a train and a truck, using a car as a reference to compare against. The results confirmed the size speed bias for the speed judgments, with both train and truck being perceived as travelling slower than the car. A comparable bias was also present in the TTA estimates for the truck. In contrast, no size arrival effect could be found for the train or the truck, neither in the speed nor the TTA judgments. This finding is inconsistent with the fact that crossing behaviour when confronted with larger vehicles appears to be consistently more conservative. This discrepancy might be interpreted as an indication that factors other than perceived speed or TTA play an important role for the differences in gap acceptance between different types of vehicles.

摘要

铁路平交道口事故是铁路运营的一个关键问题。有人认为,这种事故的一个潜在解释可能在于所谓的大小速度偏差,即观察者低估了较大物体(如飞机或火车)速度的现象。虽然有一些证据表明这种大小速度偏差确实存在,但它与另一个经过充分研究的现象,即大小到达效应,有些矛盾。当被要求判断一个接近的物体到达预定位置(到达时间,TTA)所需的时间时,观察者往往会对较大的物体做出较低的估计。在这种情况下,当面对较大的车辆时,道路使用者的穿越决策应该更加保守,这在多个关于间隙接受的研究中得到了证实。本文报告的实验旨在澄清大小速度偏差和大小到达效应之间的关系。通过使用相对判断任务,对火车和卡车的虚拟描述进行了速度和 TTA 估计,使用汽车作为参考进行比较。结果证实了速度判断中的大小速度偏差,火车和卡车都被认为比汽车行驶得慢。对于卡车的 TTA 估计,也存在类似的偏差。相比之下,无论是在速度还是 TTA 判断中,都没有发现火车或卡车的大小到达效应。这一发现与面对较大车辆时的穿越行为似乎一直更为保守的事实不一致。这种差异可能表明,在不同类型车辆之间的间隙接受差异中,除了感知速度或 TTA 之外,还有其他因素起着重要作用。

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