Hove-Musekwa Senelani D, Nyabadza Farai, Mambili-Mamboundou Hermane, Chiyaka Christinah, Mukandavire Zindoga
Department of Applied Mathematics, National University of Science and Technology, P.O. Box AC 939, Ascot, Bulawayo, Zimbabwe.
Department of Mathematics, University of Stellenbosch, Private Bag X1, Matieland 7602, South Africa.
Int Sch Res Notices. 2014 Sep 28;2014:836439. doi: 10.1155/2014/836439. eCollection 2014.
The model of care of people living with HIV/AIDS (PLWHA) has shifted from hospital care to community home-based care (CHBC) because of shortage of space in hospitals and lack of resources. We evaluate the costs and benefits of home-based care and other HIV/AIDS intervention strategies in Zimbabwe, using an interdisciplinary approach which weaves together the techniques of an epidemic transmission model and economic evaluation concepts. The intervention strategies considered are voluntary counselling and testing (VCT), VCT combined with hospitalization (H), VCT combined with CHBC, and all the interventions implemented concurrently. The results of the study indicate that implementing all the strategies concurrently is the most cost-effective, a result which also agrees with the epidemiological model. Our results also show that the effectiveness of a strategy in the epidemiological model does not necessarily imply cost-effectiveness of the strategy and behaviour change, modelled by the parameters p and m, that accompanied the strategies, influencing both the cost-effectiveness of an intervention strategy and dynamics of the epidemic. This study shows that interdisciplinary collaborations can help in improving the accuracy of predictions of the course and cost of the epidemic and help policy makers in implementing the correct strategies.
由于医院空间不足和资源匮乏,艾滋病毒/艾滋病感染者(PLWHA)的护理模式已从医院护理转向社区居家护理(CHBC)。我们采用一种跨学科方法,将流行病传播模型技术与经济评估概念相结合,评估了津巴布韦居家护理及其他艾滋病毒/艾滋病干预策略的成本和效益。所考虑的干预策略包括自愿咨询和检测(VCT)、VCT联合住院治疗(H)、VCT联合CHBC,以及同时实施所有干预措施。研究结果表明,同时实施所有策略最具成本效益,这一结果也与流行病学模型相符。我们的研究结果还表明,流行病学模型中一种策略的有效性并不一定意味着该策略具有成本效益,而且伴随这些策略的行为改变(由参数p和m模拟)会影响干预策略的成本效益以及疫情动态。本研究表明,跨学科合作有助于提高对疫情进程和成本预测的准确性,并帮助政策制定者实施正确的策略。