区分每日死亡率、住院率与二氧化氮之间的关联与颗粒物之间的关联:一项系统评价和荟萃分析。
Distinguishing the associations between daily mortality and hospital admissions and nitrogen dioxide from those of particulate matter: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
作者信息
Mills I C, Atkinson R W, Anderson H R, Maynard R L, Strachan D P
机构信息
Public Health England, Centre for Radiation, Chemical and Environmental Hazards, Oxfordshire, UK.
Population Health Research Institute and MRC-PHE Centre for Environment and Health, St George's, University of London, London, UK.
出版信息
BMJ Open. 2016 Jul 21;6(7):e010751. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010751.
OBJECTIVES
To quantitatively assess time-series studies of daily nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and mortality and hospital admissions which also controlled for particulate matter (PM) to determine whether or to what extent the NO2 associations are independent of PM.
DESIGN
A systematic review and meta-analysis.
METHODS
Time-series studies-published in peer-reviewed journals worldwide, up to May 2011-that reported both single-pollutant and two-pollutant model estimates for NO2 and PM were ascertained from bibliographic databases (PubMed, EMBASE and Web of Science) and reviews. Random-effects summary estimates were calculated globally and stratified by different geographical regions, and effect modification was investigated.
OUTCOME MEASURES
Mortality and hospital admissions for various cardiovascular or respiratory diseases in different age groups in the general population.
RESULTS
60 eligible studies were identified, and meta-analysis was conducted on 23 outcomes. Two-pollutant model study estimates generally showed that the NO2 associations were independent of PM mass. For all-cause mortality, a 10 µg/m(3) increase in 24-hour NO2 was associated with a 0.78% (95% CI 0.47% to 1.09%) increase in the risk of death, which reduced to 0.60% (0.33% to 0.87%) after control for PM. Heterogeneity between geographical region-specific estimates was removed by control for PM (I(2) from 66.9% to 0%). Estimates of PM and daily mortality assembled from the same studies were greatly attenuated after control for NO2: from 0.51% (0.29% to 0.74%) to 0.18% (-0.11% to 0.47%) per 10 µg/m(3) PM10 and 0.74% (0.34% to 1.14%) to 0.54% (-0.25% to 1.34%) for PM2.5.
CONCLUSIONS
The association between short-term exposure to NO2 and adverse health outcomes is largely independent of PM mass. Further studies should attempt to investigate whether this is a generic PM effect or whether it is modified by the source and physicochemical characteristics of PM. This finding strengthens the argument for NO2 having a causal role in health effects.
目的
定量评估每日二氧化氮(NO₂)与死亡率及住院率的时间序列研究,这些研究还对颗粒物(PM)进行了控制,以确定NO₂的关联是否独立于PM,或在何种程度上独立于PM。
设计
系统评价和荟萃分析。
方法
从文献数据库(PubMed、EMBASE和Web of Science)及综述中确定在全球同行评审期刊上发表的截至2011年5月的时间序列研究,这些研究报告了NO₂和PM的单污染物及双污染物模型估计值。计算全球范围内及按不同地理区域分层的随机效应汇总估计值,并研究效应修正。
观察指标
普通人群中不同年龄组各种心血管或呼吸系统疾病的死亡率和住院率。
结果
确定了60项符合条件的研究,并对23项结果进行了荟萃分析。双污染物模型研究估计值总体显示,NO₂的关联独立于PM质量。对于全因死亡率,24小时NO₂每增加10 μg/m³,死亡风险增加0.78%(95%CI 0.47%至1.09%),在控制PM后降至0.60%(0.33%至0.87%)。通过控制PM消除了特定地理区域估计值之间的异质性(I²从66.9%降至0%)。在控制NO₂后,从同一研究中汇总的PM和每日死亡率估计值大幅减弱:PM10每10 μg/m³从0.51%(0.29%至0.74%)降至0.18%(-0.11%至0.47%),PM2.5从0.74%(0.34%至1.14%)降至0.54%(-0.25%至1.34%)。
结论
短期接触NO₂与不良健康结局之间的关联在很大程度上独立于PM质量。进一步的研究应尝试调查这是一种普遍的PM效应,还是会因PM的来源和物理化学特性而改变。这一发现强化了NO₂在健康影响中具有因果作用的观点。