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长期暴露于二氧化氮与死亡率:系统评价与荟萃分析。

Long-term exposure to nitrogen dioxide and mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Gangarosa Department of Environmental Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA.

Department of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2021 Jul 1;776:145968. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145968. Epub 2021 Feb 19.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Ambient air pollution is among the greatest environmental risks to human health. However, little is known about the health effects of nitrogen dioxide (NO), a traffic-related air pollutant. Herein, we aimed to conduct a meta-analysis to investigate the long-term effects of NO on mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search for studies that were published up to February 2020 and performed a meta-analysis of all available epidemiologic studies evaluating the associations between long-term exposure to NO with all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality. Overall pooled effect estimates as well as subgroup-specific pooled estimates (e.g. location, exposure assessment method, exposure metric, study population, age at recruitment, and key confounder adjustment) and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using random-effects models. Risk of bias assessment was accessed by following WHO global air quality guidelines. Publication bias was accessed by visually inspecting funnel plot and Egger's liner regression was used to test of asymmetry.

RESULTS

Our search initially retrieved 1349 unique studies, of which 34 studies met the inclusion criteria. The pooled hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality was 1.06 (95%CI: 1.04-1.08, n = 28 studies, I = 98.6%) per 10 ppb increase in annual NO concentrations. The pooled HRs for cardiovascular and respiratory mortality per 10 ppb increment were 1.11 (95%CI: 1.07-1.16, n = 20 studies, I = 99.2%) and 1.05 (95%CI: 1.02-1.08, n = 17 studies, I = 94.6%), respectively. The sensitivity analysis pooling estimates from multi-pollutant models suggest an independent effect of NO on mortality. Funnel plots indicate that there is no evidence for publication bias in our study.

CONCLUSION

We provide robust epidemiological evidence that long-term exposure to NO, a proxy for traffic-sourced air pollutants, is associated with a higher risk of all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality that might be independent of other common air pollutants.

摘要

背景

空气污染是对人类健康的最大环境风险之一。然而,人们对二氧化氮(NO)这种与交通有关的空气污染物对健康的影响知之甚少。在此,我们旨在进行一项荟萃分析,以研究 NO 对死亡率的长期影响。

方法

我们对截至 2020 年 2 月发表的研究进行了系统搜索,并对所有评估长期暴露于 NO 与全因、心血管和呼吸死亡风险之间关联的可用流行病学研究进行了荟萃分析。使用随机效应模型计算了总体汇总效应估计值以及亚组特异性汇总估计值(例如位置、暴露评估方法、暴露指标、研究人群、招募时的年龄以及关键混杂因素调整)和 95%置信区间。通过遵循世界卫生组织全球空气质量指南来评估偏倚风险。通过视觉检查漏斗图评估发表偏倚,并使用 Egger 线性回归测试不对称性。

结果

我们的搜索最初检索到 1349 项独特的研究,其中 34 项研究符合纳入标准。在 28 项研究中,每年 NO 浓度增加 10ppb,全因死亡率的汇总危险比(HR)为 1.06(95%CI:1.04-1.08,I = 98.6%)。在 20 项研究中,心血管死亡率的汇总 HR 为 1.11(95%CI:1.07-1.16,I = 99.2%),在 17 项研究中,呼吸死亡率的汇总 HR 为 1.05(95%CI:1.02-1.08,I = 94.6%)。来自多污染物模型的敏感性分析汇总估计表明,NO 对死亡率的影响是独立的。漏斗图表明,我们的研究没有证据表明存在发表偏倚。

结论

我们提供了强有力的流行病学证据,表明长期暴露于 NO(交通源空气污染物的代表)与全因、心血管和呼吸死亡率升高有关,这可能与其他常见空气污染物无关。

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