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随心而为:心脏病发作后的生存几率与成本——一种工具变量法

Follow Your Heart: Survival Chances and Costs after Heart Attacks-An Instrumental Variable Approach.

作者信息

Sanwald Alice, Schober Thomas

机构信息

Federal Ministry of Health, Friedrichstraße 108, 10117 Berlin, Germany.

Christian Doppler Laboratory for Aging, Health and the Labor Market, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Linz, Austria.

出版信息

Health Serv Res. 2017 Feb;52(1):16-34. doi: 10.1111/1475-6773.12509. Epub 2016 Jul 21.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To determine the effect of heart attack patients' access to intensive treatment on mortality and costs.

DATA SOURCES

Administrative data of 4,920 patients with acute myocardial infarction from the Austrian Social Security Database and the Upper Austrian Sickness Fund for the period 2002-2011.

STUDY DESIGN

As treatment intensity in a hospital largely depends on whether it has a catheterization laboratory, we explore the effects of patients' initial admission to such specialized percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) hospitals. To account for the nonrandom selection of patients into hospitals, we exploit individuals' place of residence as a source of exogenous variation in an instrumental variable framework.

PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

We find that the initial admission to PCI hospitals increases patients' survival chances substantially. The effect on 3-year mortality is -9.5 percentage points. Subgroup analysis shows the strongest effects in relative terms for patients below the age of 65. We do not find significant effects on long-term inpatient costs and only marginal increases in outpatient costs.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that place of residence affects the access of patients to invasive heart attack treatment and therefore their chance of survival. We conclude that that providing more patients immediate access to PCI hospitals should be beneficial.

摘要

目的

确定心脏病发作患者获得强化治疗对死亡率和成本的影响。

数据来源

来自奥地利社会保障数据库和上奥地利州疾病基金的4920例急性心肌梗死患者在2002年至2011年期间的行政数据。

研究设计

由于医院的治疗强度在很大程度上取决于其是否设有导管插入实验室,我们探讨了患者首次入住此类专门的经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI)医院的影响。为了解决患者非随机选择医院的问题,我们在工具变量框架中利用个体的居住地作为外生变异的来源。

主要发现

我们发现首次入住PCI医院可大幅提高患者的生存几率。对3年死亡率的影响为-9.5个百分点。亚组分析显示,相对而言,65岁以下患者的效果最为明显。我们未发现对长期住院成本有显著影响,门诊成本仅略有增加。

结论

我们的研究结果表明,居住地会影响患者获得侵入性心脏病发作治疗的机会,从而影响其生存几率。我们得出结论,让更多患者能够立即入住PCI医院应该是有益的。

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