Santé publique France , French National Public Health Agency, Saint Maurice, France.
Santé publique France , French National Public Health Agency, Saint Maurice, France.
Sci Total Environ. 2016 Nov 15;571:416-25. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.06.213. Epub 2016 Jul 22.
Worldwide, air pollution has become a main environmental cause of premature mortality. This burden is largely due to fine particles. Recent cohort studies have confirmed the health risks associated with chronic exposure to PM2.5 for European and French populations. We assessed the mortality impact of PM2.5 in continental France using these new results.
Based on a meta-analysis of French and European cohorts, we computed a shrunken estimate of PM2.5-mortality relationship for the French population (RR 1.15 [1.05:1.25] for a 10μg/m(3) increase in PM2.5). This RR was applied to PM2.5 annual concentrations estimated at a fine spatial scale, using a classical health impacts assessment method. The health benefits associated with alternative scenarios of improving air quality were computed for 36,219 French municipalities for 2007-2008.
9% of the total mortality in continental France is attributable to anthropogenic PM2.5. This represents >48,000 deaths per year, and 950,000years of life lost per year, more than half occurring in urban areas larger than 100,000 inhabitants. If none of the municipalities exceeded the World Health Organization guideline value for PM2.5 (10μg/m(3)), the total mortality could be decreased by 3%, corresponding to 400,000years of life saved per year.
Results were consistent with previous estimates of the long-term mortality impacts of fine particles in France. These findings show that further actions to improve air quality in France would substantially improve health.
在全球范围内,空气污染已成为导致过早死亡的主要环境因素。这一负担在很大程度上归因于细颗粒物。最近的队列研究证实了欧洲和法国人群慢性暴露于 PM2.5 相关的健康风险。我们使用这些新结果评估了 PM2.5 对法国大陆的死亡率影响。
基于对法国和欧洲队列的荟萃分析,我们计算了法国人口 PM2.5 死亡率关系的收缩估计值(RR 为 1.15 [1.05:1.25],PM2.5 增加 10μg/m3)。该 RR 应用于使用经典健康影响评估方法在精细空间尺度上估算的 PM2.5 年浓度。对于 2007-2008 年改善空气质量的替代方案,计算了与 36,219 个法国城市相关的健康效益。
法国大陆总死亡率的 9%归因于人为 PM2.5。这代表每年有超过 48,000 人死亡,每年有超过 950,000 年的生命损失,其中一半以上发生在人口超过 100,000 人的城市地区。如果没有一个城市的 PM2.5 超过世界卫生组织的指导值(10μg/m3),总死亡率可降低 3%,相当于每年可节省 400,000 年的生命。
结果与之前对法国细颗粒物长期死亡率影响的估计一致。这些发现表明,法国进一步采取行动改善空气质量将大大改善健康状况。