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过去十年的空气污染流行病学与定量风险评估的挑战。

The last decade of air pollution epidemiology and the challenges of quantitative risk assessment.

机构信息

National Research Council, IFT, Palermo, Italy.

Environmental Research Group, Imperial College, London, UK.

出版信息

Environ Health. 2024 Nov 14;23(1):98. doi: 10.1186/s12940-024-01136-5.

DOI:10.1186/s12940-024-01136-5
PMID:39543692
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11566658/
Abstract

Epidemiologic research and quantitative risk assessment play a crucial role in transferring fundamental scientific knowledge to policymakers so they can take action to reduce the burden of ambient air pollution. This commentary addresses several challenges in quantitative risk assessment of air pollution that require close attention. The background to this discussion provides a summary of and conclusions from the epidemiological evidence on ambient air pollution and health outcomes accumulated since the 1990s. We focus on identifying relevant exposure-health outcome pairs, the associated concentration-response functions to be applied in a risk assessment, and several caveats in their application. We propose a structured and comprehensive framework for assessing the evidence levels associated with each exposure-health outcome pair within a health impact assessment context. Specific issues regarding the use of global or regional concentration-response functions, their shape, and the range of applicability are discussed.

摘要

流行病学研究和定量风险评估在将基础科学知识传递给政策制定者方面发挥着至关重要的作用,以便他们能够采取行动来减轻环境空气污染的负担。本评论探讨了定量风险评估中需要密切关注的几个空气污染挑战。本文讨论的背景提供了自 20 世纪 90 年代以来环境空气污染与健康结果相关的流行病学证据的总结和结论。我们重点确定相关的暴露-健康结果对,以及在风险评估中应用的相关浓度-反应函数,以及它们应用中的一些注意事项。我们提出了一个结构化和全面的框架,用于评估健康影响评估背景下每个暴露-健康结果对相关的证据水平。讨论了使用全球或区域浓度-反应函数、它们的形状和适用范围的具体问题。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ecb7/11566658/24ddb217bb81/12940_2024_1136_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ecb7/11566658/df5ff25530a5/12940_2024_1136_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ecb7/11566658/385f19d82b72/12940_2024_1136_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ecb7/11566658/24ddb217bb81/12940_2024_1136_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ecb7/11566658/df5ff25530a5/12940_2024_1136_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ecb7/11566658/385f19d82b72/12940_2024_1136_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ecb7/11566658/24ddb217bb81/12940_2024_1136_Fig3_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
Long-Term Exposure to Particulate Matter and Mortality: An Update of the WHO Global Air Quality Guidelines Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.长期暴露于颗粒物与死亡率:世卫组织全球空气质量指南系统评价和荟萃分析的更新。
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Choices of morbidity outcomes and concentration-response functions for health risk assessment of long-term exposure to air pollution.长期暴露于空气污染的健康风险评估中发病结局的选择及浓度-反应函数
Environ Epidemiol. 2024 Jun 25;8(4):e314. doi: 10.1097/EE9.0000000000000314. eCollection 2024 Aug.
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Epidemiological studies likely need to consider PM composition even if total outdoor PM mass concentration is the exposure of interest.
即使总室外颗粒物质量浓度是感兴趣的暴露指标,流行病学研究可能仍需考虑颗粒物的成分。
Environ Epidemiol. 2024 Jul 16;8(4):e317. doi: 10.1097/EE9.0000000000000317. eCollection 2024 Aug.
4
Assessing Adverse Health Effects of Long-Term Exposure to Low Levels of Ambient Air Pollution: The HEI Experience and What's Next?评估长期暴露于低水平环境空气污染对健康的不良影响:HEI 的经验及未来方向?
Environ Sci Technol. 2024 Jul 23;58(29):12767-12783. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.3c09745. Epub 2024 Jul 11.
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Model misspecification, measurement error, and apparent supralinearity in the concentration-response relationship between PM2.5 and mortality.模型误设定、测量误差以及 PM2.5 和死亡率之间浓度-反应关系中的明显超线性。
PLoS One. 2024 May 23;19(5):e0303640. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0303640. eCollection 2024.
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Lancet. 2024 May 18;403(10440):2204-2256. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00685-8.
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Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.全球疾病负担研究 2021 年在 204 个国家和地区、811 个次国家级地点对 88 种风险因素的全球负担和证据强度:系统分析。
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Science. 2024 Apr 5;384(6691):33-34. doi: 10.1126/science.abo3801. Epub 2024 Apr 4.
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Increasing Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Ambient Air Pollution-Attributable Morbidity and Mortality in the United States.美国环境空气污染归因的发病率和死亡率中种族和民族差异日益扩大。
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Air pollution exposure and cardiometabolic risk.空气污染暴露与心血管代谢风险。
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