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从政府角度评估HPV预防的更广泛经济后果:一种财政分析方法。

Assessment of the Broader Economic Consequences of HPV Prevention from a Government-Perspective: A Fiscal Analytic Approach.

作者信息

Setiawan Didik, Kotsopoulos Nikolaos, Wilschut Jan C, Postma Maarten J, Connolly Mark P

机构信息

Unit of PharmacoEpidemiology & PharmacoEconomics (PE2), Department of Pharmacy, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.

Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Muhammadiyah Purwokerto, Purwokerto, Indonesia.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2016 Aug 4;11(8):e0160707. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0160707. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Cervical cancer poses a substantial burden in terms of morbidity, mortality, and economic losses, especially in low/middle-income countries. HPV vaccination and/or cervical cancer screening among females may reduce the burden of HPV-related diseases, including cervical cancer. However, limited funds may impede the implementation of population-based programmes. Governmental investments in the prevention of infectious disease may have broader economic and fiscal benefits, which are not accounted in conventional economic analyses. This study estimates the broader economic and fiscal impacts of implementing HPV vaccination and/or cervical cancer screening in Indonesia from the perspective of the government.

METHODS

A government-perspective quantitative analytic framework was applied to assess the Net Present Value (NPV) of investment on cervical cancer prevention strategies including HPV vaccination, cervical screening and its combination in Indonesia. All monetary values were presented in International Dollars (I$).

RESULTS

Based on a cohort of 10,000,000 Indonesian 12-year-old females, it was estimated that HPV vaccination and/or cervical cancer screening result in a positive NPV for the Indonesian government. The combination of cervical screening and HPV vaccination generated a substantial reduction of cervical cancer incidence and HPV-related mortality of 87,862 and 19,359, respectively. It was estimated that HPV vaccination in combination with cervical screening is the most favorable option for cervical cancer prevention (NPV I$2.031.786.000), followed by HPV vaccination alone (NPV I$1.860.783.000) and cervical screening alone (NPV I$375.244.000).

CONCLUSION

In addition to clinical benefits, investing in HPV vaccination and cervical screening may yield considerable fiscal benefits for the Indonesian governments due to lifelong benefits resulting from reduction of cervical cancer-related morbidity and mortality.

摘要

背景

宫颈癌在发病率、死亡率和经济损失方面造成了巨大负担,尤其是在低收入和中等收入国家。女性接种人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)疫苗和/或进行宫颈癌筛查可能会减轻包括宫颈癌在内的HPV相关疾病的负担。然而,资金有限可能会阻碍基于人群的项目实施。政府对传染病预防的投资可能会带来更广泛的经济和财政效益,而这些效益在传统经济分析中并未得到体现。本研究从政府角度估计了在印度尼西亚实施HPV疫苗接种和/或宫颈癌筛查所产生的更广泛的经济和财政影响。

方法

采用从政府角度出发的定量分析框架,评估在印度尼西亚实施包括HPV疫苗接种、宫颈癌筛查及其联合方案在内的宫颈癌预防策略的投资净现值(NPV)。所有货币价值均以国际美元(I$)表示。

结果

基于1000万印度尼西亚12岁女性队列,估计HPV疫苗接种和/或宫颈癌筛查为印度尼西亚政府带来了正净现值。宫颈癌筛查与HPV疫苗接种相结合使宫颈癌发病率和HPV相关死亡率大幅降低,分别减少了87862例和19359例。据估计,HPV疫苗接种与宫颈癌筛查相结合是预防宫颈癌的最有利选择(净现值为I$20.31786亿),其次是单独接种HPV疫苗(净现值为I$18.60783亿)和单独进行宫颈癌筛查(净现值为I$3.75244亿)。

结论

除了临床益处外,由于减少宫颈癌相关发病率和死亡率带来的终身益处,投资于HPV疫苗接种和宫颈癌筛查可能会为印度尼西亚政府带来可观的财政效益。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/94c8/4973918/376db54275d9/pone.0160707.g001.jpg

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