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时空疾病映射中的两级空间结构模型。

Two-level spatially structured models in spatio-temporal disease mapping.

作者信息

Ugarte María Dolores, Adin Aritz, Goicoa Tomás

机构信息

Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Public University of Navarre, Spain Institute for Advanced Materials (InaMat), Public University of Navarre, Spain

Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Public University of Navarre, Spain Institute for Advanced Materials (InaMat), Public University of Navarre, Spain.

出版信息

Stat Methods Med Res. 2016 Aug;25(4):1080-100. doi: 10.1177/0962280216660423.

Abstract

This work focuses on extending some classical spatio-temporal models in disease mapping. The objective is to present a family of flexible models to analyze real data naturally organized in two different levels of spatial aggregation like municipalities within health areas or provinces, or counties within states. Model fitting and inference will be carried out using integrated nested Laplace approximations. The performance of the new models compared to models including a single spatial random effect is assessed by simulation. Results show good behavior of the proposed two-level spatially structured models in terms of several criteria. Brain cancer mortality data in the municipalities of two regions in Spain will be analyzed using the new model proposals. It will be shown that a model with two-level spatial random effects overcomes the usual single-level models.

摘要

这项工作聚焦于扩展疾病映射中的一些经典时空模型。目的是提出一族灵活的模型,以分析自然地按两种不同空间聚合层次组织的实际数据,比如健康区域或省份内的直辖市,或州内的县。将使用集成嵌套拉普拉斯近似进行模型拟合和推断。通过模拟评估新模型与包含单个空间随机效应的模型相比的性能。结果表明,所提出的两级空间结构模型在几个标准方面表现良好。将使用新的模型建议分析西班牙两个地区直辖市的脑癌死亡率数据。结果将表明,具有两级空间随机效应的模型克服了常见的单级模型。

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