Zeng X Y, Li Y C, Liu S W, Zhou M G, Wang L J, Yin P, Liu Y N, Liu J M, You J L
National Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China.
Zhonghua Yu Fang Yi Xue Za Zhi. 2016 Sep 6;50(9):776-781. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0253-9624.2016.09.006.
To analyze and compare deaths(mortality)attributable to high body mass index(BMI)in Chinese population aged ≥15 years between 1990 and 2013. We used the results of the 2013 Global Burden of Disease Study for China, based on population attributable fractions(PAF)to analyze deaths attributable to high BMI in all provinces(not including Taiwan, China)in 1990 and 2013. The average world population from 2000 to 2025 was used as a reference to calculate age-standardized mortality rates, and to compare the change of attributable deaths in 1990 and 2013. In 2013, the number of deaths attributable to high BMI was 640 294, compared with 301 231 in 1990, an increase of 114.27%. Compared with 1990, in 2013, the number of deaths and age-standardized mortality rate attributable to high BMI showed a higher growth rate in men(142.81% and 30.74%, respectively)than women(84.69% and 2.88% , respectively). The growth rate of attributable deaths increased with age. Compared with 1990, in 2013, the growth rates of attributable deaths among 15-49, 50-69 and ≥70 years age groups were 63.37%, 89.11% and 183.64%, respectively. In both 1990 and 2013, the top three diseases in terms of deaths attributable to high BMI were stroke(128 657 and 247 042, respectively), ischemic heart disease(57 173 and 156 614, respectively), and hypertensive heart disease(34 960 and 58 435, respectively). Compared with 1990, in 2013, the standardized mortality rates of chronic kidney disease(129.44%), pancreatic cancer(101.76%), colorectal cancer(85.45%)and breast cancer(63.86%)showed more substantial increases. In 1990, the top three provinces with most deaths attributable to high BMI were Henan(31 376), Shandong(27 969)and Hebei(24 164), while in 2013 they were Shandong(61 897), Hebei(58 383)and Henan(57 501). Compared with 1990, in 2013, the age-standardized mortality rate attributable to high BMI increased in 26 of 33 provinces, with a faster increase in Qinghai(56.96%), Guizhou(45.30%)and Yunnan(39.39%). The rate declined in the other seven provinces, declining faster in Tianjin(20.68%), Macao(14.08%)and Jilin(6.86%). Deaths and age-standardized mortality rates attributable to high BMI increased rapidly between 1990 and 2013, with higher increases in men than in women. Age-standardized mortality rates of chronic kidney disease, pancreatic cancer, colorectal cancer and breast cancer attributable to high BMI showed much higher growth rates than other attributed diseases. The highest BMI-attributed age-standardized mortality rates were found in northeast and northern provinces, and the fastest growth rates of BMI-attributed age-standardized mortality rates were observed in southwest and northwest provinces.
分析并比较1990年至2013年中国15岁及以上人群中归因于高体重指数(BMI)的死亡(死亡率)情况。我们使用了2013年中国全球疾病负担研究的结果,基于人群归因分数(PAF)分析1990年和2013年中国所有省份(不包括中国台湾)归因于高BMI的死亡情况。以2000年至2025年的世界平均人口作为参考来计算年龄标准化死亡率,并比较1990年和2013年归因死亡的变化。2013年,归因于高BMI的死亡人数为640294人,而1990年为301231人,增长了114.27%。与1990年相比,2013年归因于高BMI的死亡人数和年龄标准化死亡率在男性中(分别为142.81%和30.74%)比女性中(分别为84.69%和2.88%)增长速度更高。归因死亡的增长率随年龄增加。与1990年相比,2013年15 - 49岁、50 - 69岁和70岁及以上年龄组的归因死亡增长率分别为63.37%、89.11%和183.64%。在1990年和2013年,归因于高BMI的死亡人数最多的前三种疾病都是中风(分别为128657例和247042例)、缺血性心脏病(分别为57173例和156614例)以及高血压性心脏病(分别为34960例和58435例)。与1990年相比,2013年慢性肾病(129.44%)、胰腺癌(101.76%)、结直肠癌(85.45%)和乳腺癌(63.86%)的标准化死亡率有更显著的增加。1990年,归因于高BMI死亡人数最多的前三个省份是河南(31376例)、山东(27969例)和河北(24164例),而2013年是山东(61897例)、河北(58383例)和河南(57501例)。与1990年相比,2013年33个省份中有26个省份归因于高BMI的年龄标准化死亡率上升,其中青海(56.96%)、贵州(45.30%)和云南(39.39%)上升更快。其他七个省份的该率下降,其中天津(20.68%)、澳门(14.08%)和吉林(6.86%)下降更快。1990年至2013年期间,归因于高BMI的死亡人数和年龄标准化死亡率迅速上升,男性上升幅度高于女性。归因于高BMI的慢性肾病、胰腺癌、结直肠癌和乳腺癌的年龄标准化死亡率增长速度远高于其他归因疾病。BMI归因年龄标准化死亡率最高的是东北和北部省份,而BMI归因年龄标准化死亡率增长最快的是西南和西北省份。