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1990 年至 2009 年中国城市化进程中氮足迹的混合量化方法。

A hybrid method for quantifying China's nitrogen footprint during urbanisation from 1990 to 2009.

机构信息

Key Lab of Urban Environment and Health, Institute of Urban Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xiamen 361021, China; Xiamen Key Lab of Urban Metabolism, Xiamen 361021, China.

College of Tourism, Huaqiao University, Quanzhou 362021, China.

出版信息

Environ Int. 2016 Dec;97:137-145. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2016.08.012. Epub 2016 Sep 22.

Abstract

In this study, we devise a national nitrogen footprint method to evaluate the life cycle nitrogen flows through the national economy of China from 1990 to 2009. To this end, we build a hybrid method based on two well-established techniques, namely material flow analysis (MFA) and input-output analysis (IOA). This integration allows for the evaluation of the effects of international trade and interdependencies among economic sectors. Our results suggest that China's nitrogen footprint (NF) has increased from 30.3Teragrams (Tg) in 1990 to 54.0Tg in 2009, whereas the NF per capita has increased from 25.9 to 39.5kgN/yr. Relationship between the world NF per capita and human development index (HDI) appears to show an inverted U curve, whilst China shows an increase both in NF per capita and HDI. We find that an increase in China's NF is largely associated with high levels of urbanisation. Although the energy NF (E_NF) has increased more drastically than the food NF (F_NF), the latter still dominates China's total NNF, with proportions of 91% in 1990 and 82% in 2009. Taking international trade into account, our results demonstrate that China was a net exporter of F_NF, whilst a net importer of E_NF over this time period. There are many measures considered to reduce China's nitrogen footprint, including improvements in N use efficiency of food systems, transformation of meat-based diets and optimisation of China's economic structure.

摘要

在这项研究中,我们设计了一种国家氮足迹方法,以评估 1990 年至 2009 年中国国民经济的生命周期氮流动。为此,我们基于两种成熟的技术,即物质流分析(MFA)和投入产出分析(IOA),构建了一种混合方法。这种整合可以评估国际贸易和经济部门之间相互依存关系的影响。我们的研究结果表明,中国的氮足迹(NF)从 1990 年的 30.3 太克(Tg)增加到 2009 年的 54.0Tg,而人均氮足迹从 25.9 增加到 39.5kgN/yr。世界人均氮足迹与人类发展指数(HDI)之间的关系似乎呈现出倒 U 型曲线,而中国的人均氮足迹和 HDI 都在增加。我们发现,中国氮足迹的增加主要与城市化水平的提高有关。尽管能源氮足迹(E_NF)的增长幅度大于食品氮足迹(F_NF),但后者仍占中国总氮足迹的 91%(1990 年)和 82%(2009 年)。考虑到国际贸易,我们的研究结果表明,在此期间,中国一直是食品氮足迹的净出口国,而能源氮足迹则是净进口国。有许多措施被认为可以降低中国的氮足迹,包括提高食品系统的氮利用效率、改变以肉为主的饮食结构以及优化中国的经济结构。

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