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在战时成长:来自两次世界大战时期的证据。

Growing up in wartime: Evidence from the era of two world wars.

作者信息

Havari Enkelejda, Peracchi Franco

机构信息

European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra (VA), Italy.

Department of Economics, Georgetown University, United States; Department of Economics and Finance, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Italy.

出版信息

Econ Hum Biol. 2017 May;25:9-32. doi: 10.1016/j.ehb.2016.09.002. Epub 2016 Sep 16.

Abstract

We document the association between war-related shocks in childhood and adult outcomes for Europeans born during the first half of the twentieth century. Using a variety of data, at both the macro- and the micro-level, we address the following questions: What are the patterns of mortality among Europeans born during this period? Do war-related shocks in childhood and adolescence help predict adult health, human capital and wellbeing of the survivors? Are there differences by sex, socio-economic status in childhood, and age when the shocks occurred? At the macro-level, we show that the secular trend towards lower mortality was interrupted by dramatic increases in mortality during World War I, the Spanish Flu, the Spanish Civil War, and World War II, and we quantify the size of these mortality shocks. Different patterns characterize these high-mortality episodes, with substantial variation by country, sex and age group. At the micro-level, we show that war-related hardship in childhood or adolescence, in particular exposure to war events and experience of hunger, is associated with worse physical and mental health, education, cognitive ability and subjective wellbeing at older ages. The strength of the association differs by sex and type of hardship, with war exposure being more important for females and experience of hunger for males. We also show that hardships matter more if experienced in childhood, and have stronger consequences if they last longer.

摘要

我们记录了20世纪上半叶出生的欧洲人童年时期与战争相关的冲击及其成年后的状况。利用宏观和微观层面的各种数据,我们探讨以下问题:这一时期出生的欧洲人的死亡率模式是怎样的?童年和青少年时期与战争相关的冲击是否有助于预测幸存者的成年健康状况、人力资本和幸福程度?在性别、童年时期的社会经济地位以及冲击发生时的年龄方面是否存在差异?在宏观层面,我们表明,死亡率下降的长期趋势在第一次世界大战、西班牙流感、西班牙内战和第二次世界大战期间因死亡率急剧上升而中断,并且我们对这些死亡率冲击的规模进行了量化。这些高死亡率事件呈现出不同的模式,在国家、性别和年龄组方面存在很大差异。在微观层面,我们表明,童年或青少年时期与战争相关的苦难,特别是经历战争事件和饥饿,与老年时较差的身心健康、教育程度、认知能力和主观幸福感相关。这种关联的强度因性别和苦难类型而异,战争经历对女性更为重要,饥饿经历对男性更为重要。我们还表明,如果在童年时期经历苦难,其影响更大,如果持续时间更长,后果则更严重。

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