Omersa Daniel, Lainscak Mitja, Erzen Ivan, Farkas Jerneja
National Institute of Public Health, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
Department of Cardiology, Department of Research and Education, General Hospital Celje, Celje, Slovenia.
Wien Klin Wochenschr. 2016 Dec;128(Suppl 7):512-518. doi: 10.1007/s00508-016-1098-2. Epub 2016 Oct 19.
In heart failure (HF), comorbidity burden and prognostic risks increase with age. Studies investigating outcome in elderly patients from large datasets are lacking, particularly in central and eastern European countries. We analyzed the Slovenian data on mortality and readmissions after first HF hospitalization in patients aged 65 years or over.
In this observational epidemiological study, the Slovenian national hospitalization database was searched for HF patients aged ≥65 years with first HF hospitalization between 2008 and 2012. All-cause mortality and readmissions were compared in young-olds (65-74 years), middle-olds (75-84 years), and old-olds (≥85 years) using cumulative probability plots and log rank test. The prognostic value of comorbidities on mortality and readmissions for age groups were assessed using multiple Cox proportional hazards models.
Overall, 36,824 patients were included (median age 80 years, 41 % men, 20 % in-hospital mortality). The proportions of young-olds, middle-olds, and old-olds were 26, 48, and 26 %, respectively. Arterial hypertension (60 %), pulmonary disease (44 %), and atrial fibrillation (38 %) were the most prevalent comorbidities, with little variation over age. While age group was associated with higher mortality (P < 0.001), no such associations were seen for readmissions at any time points (P > 0.1 for all). Importance of comorbidities as a predictor for mortality faded with increasing age while only small decrease in hazard ratios for readmissions were seen.
Age is an independent predictor of mortality but not readmissions in elderly patients with first HF hospitalization. Comorbidities are important predictors for mortality and readmissions in elderly.
在心力衰竭(HF)中,合并症负担和预后风险随年龄增长而增加。缺乏对来自大型数据集的老年患者结局的研究,尤其是在中东欧国家。我们分析了斯洛文尼亚65岁及以上患者首次因心力衰竭住院后的死亡率和再入院情况的数据。
在这项观察性流行病学研究中,在斯洛文尼亚国家住院数据库中搜索2008年至2012年间首次因心力衰竭住院的65岁及以上的HF患者。使用累积概率图和对数秩检验比较了年轻人(65 - 74岁)、中年人(75 - 84岁)和老年人(≥85岁)的全因死亡率和再入院情况。使用多个Cox比例风险模型评估合并症对各年龄组死亡率和再入院情况的预后价值。
总体而言,纳入了36,824例患者(中位年龄80岁,41%为男性,20%住院死亡率)。年轻人、中年人、老年人的比例分别为26%、48%和26%。动脉高血压(60%)、肺部疾病(44%)和心房颤动(38%)是最常见的合并症,各年龄组之间差异不大。虽然年龄组与较高的死亡率相关(P < 0.001),但在任何时间点的再入院情况均未发现此类关联(所有P > 0.1)。合并症作为死亡率预测指标的重要性随年龄增长而减弱,而再入院的风险比仅略有下降。
年龄是首次因心力衰竭住院的老年患者死亡率的独立预测指标,但不是再入院的预测指标。合并症是老年人死亡率和再入院的重要预测指标。