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某人群中蛛网膜下腔出血的发病率稳定但病死率呈下降趋势。

Stable incidence but declining case-fatality rates of subarachnoid hemorrhage in a population.

作者信息

Mackey Jason, Khoury Jane C, Alwell Kathleen, Moomaw Charles J, Kissela Brett M, Flaherty Matthew L, Adeoye Opeolu, Woo Daniel, Ferioli Simona, De Los Rios La Rosa Felipe, Martini Sharyl, Khatri Pooja, Broderick Joseph P, Zuccarello Mario, Kleindorfer Dawn

机构信息

From the Department of Neurology (J.M.), Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis; Division of Biostatistics and Epidemiology (J.C.K.), Cincinnati Children's Hospital; Departments of Neurology (K.A., C.J.M., B.M.K., M.L.F., D.W., S.F., F.D.L.R.L.R., P.K., J.P.B., D.K.), Emergency Medicine (O.A.), and Neurosurgery (M.Z.), University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, OH; Department of Neurology (F.D.L.R.L.R.), University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque; and Department of Neurology (S.M.), Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX.

出版信息

Neurology. 2016 Nov 22;87(21):2192-2197. doi: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000003353. Epub 2016 Oct 21.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To characterize temporal trends in subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) incidence and outcomes over 5 time periods in a large population-based stroke study in the United States.

METHODS

All SAHs among residents of the Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky region at least 20 years of age were identified and verified via study physician review in 5 distinct year-long study periods between 1988 and 2010. We abstracted demographics, care patterns, and outcomes, and we compared incidence and case-fatality rates across the study periods.

RESULTS

The incidence of SAH in the 5 study periods (age-, race-, and sex-adjusted to the 2000 US population) was 8.8 (95% confidence interval 6.8-10.7), 9.2 (7.2-11.2), 10.0 (8.0-12.0), 9.0 (7.1-10.9), and 7.7 (6.0-9.4) per 100,000, respectively; the trend in incidence rates from 1988 to 2010 was not statistically significant (p = 0.22). Advanced neurovascular imaging, endovascular coiling, and neurologic intensive care unit availability increased significantly over time. All-cause 5-day (32%-18%, p = 0.01; for trend), 30-day (46%-25%, p = 0.001), and 90-day (49%-29%, p = 0.001) case-fatality rates declined from 1988 to 2010. When we included only proven or highly likely aneurysmal SAH, the declines in case-fatality were no longer statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the incidence of SAH remained stable in this population-based region, 5-day, 30-day, and 90-day case-fatality rates declined significantly. Advances in surgical and medical management, along with systems-based changes such as the emergence of neurocritical care units, are potential explanations for the reduced case-fatality.

摘要

目的

在美国一项基于人群的大型卒中研究中,描述蛛网膜下腔出血(SAH)发病率及转归在5个时间段内的时间趋势。

方法

在1988年至2010年期间5个不同的为期一年的研究时间段内,通过研究医师审核确定并核实大辛辛那提/北肯塔基地区至少20岁居民中的所有SAH病例。我们提取了人口统计学、治疗模式及转归信息,并比较了各研究时间段内的发病率和病死率。

结果

5个研究时间段内(根据2000年美国人口进行年龄、种族和性别调整后)SAH的发病率分别为每10万人8.8例(95%置信区间6.8 - 10.7)、9.2例(7.2 - 11.2)、10.0例(8.0 - 12.0)、9.0例(7.1 - 10.9)和7.7例(6.0 - 9.4);1988年至2010年期间发病率的趋势无统计学意义(p = 0.22)。随着时间推移,先进的神经血管成像、血管内栓塞治疗及神经重症监护病房的可及性显著增加。从1988年至2010年,全因5天(32% - 18%,p = 0.01;趋势分析)、30天(46% - 25%,p = 0.001)和90天(49% - 29%,p = 0.001)病死率均下降。当仅纳入经证实或高度可能为动脉瘤性SAH时,病死率的下降不再具有统计学意义。

结论

尽管在该基于人群的地区SAH发病率保持稳定,但5天、30天和90天病死率显著下降。手术和医疗管理的进步,以及诸如神经重症监护病房出现等基于系统的变化,可能是病死率降低的原因。

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