Garenne Michel, Collinson Mark A, Kabudula Chodziwadziwa W, Gómez-Olivé F Xavier, Kahn Kathleen, Tollman Stephen
MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit, School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, UMI Résiliences, Bondy, France.
Glob Health Action. 2016 Oct 24;9:32795. doi: 10.3402/gha.v9.32795. eCollection 2016.
Completeness of vital registration remains very low in sub-Saharan Africa, especially in rural areas.
To investigate trends and factors in completeness of birth and death registration in Agincourt, a rural area of South Africa covering a population of about 110,000 persons, under demographic surveillance since 1992. The population belongs to the Shangaan ethnic group and hosts a sizeable community of Mozambican refugees.
Statistical analysis of birth and death registration over time in a 22-year perspective (1992-2014). Over this period, major efforts were made by the government of South Africa to improve vital registration. Factors associated with completeness of registration were investigated using univariate and multivariate analysis.
Birth registration was very incomplete at onset (7.8% in 1992) and reached high values at end point (90.5% in 2014). Likewise, death registration was low at onset (51.4% in 1992), also reaching high values at end point (97.1% in 2014). For births, the main factors were mother's age (much lower completeness among births to adolescent mothers), refugee status, and household wealth. For deaths, the major factors were age at death (lower completeness among under-five children), refugee status, and household wealth. Completeness increased for all demographic and socioeconomic categories studied and is likely to approach 100% in the future if trends continue at this speed.
Reaching high values in the completeness of birth and death registration was achieved by excellent organization of the civil registration and vital statistics, a variety of financial incentives, strong involvement of health personnel, and wide-scale information and advocacy campaigns by the South African government.
撒哈拉以南非洲地区的人口动态登记完整性仍然很低,尤其是在农村地区。
调查南非农村地区阿金库尔(Agincourt)出生和死亡登记完整性的趋势及影响因素。自1992年以来,该地区一直处于人口监测之下,人口约11万,属于尚加纳(Shangaan)族,并有相当数量的莫桑比克难民社区。
从22年(1992 - 2014年)的时间跨度对出生和死亡登记进行统计分析。在此期间,南非政府为改善人口动态登记做出了重大努力。采用单变量和多变量分析方法研究与登记完整性相关的因素。
出生登记一开始非常不完整(1992年为7.8%),到最后达到了很高的比例(2014年为90.5%)。同样,死亡登记一开始也很低(1992年为51.4%),最后也达到了很高的比例(2014年为97.1%)。对于出生登记,主要因素包括母亲年龄(青少年母亲所生孩子的登记完整性低得多)、难民身份和家庭财富。对于死亡登记,主要因素包括死亡年龄(五岁以下儿童的登记完整性较低)、难民身份和家庭财富。所有研究的人口和社会经济类别登记完整性均有所提高,如果按此速度持续下去,未来可能接近100%。
通过民事登记和人口动态统计的出色组织、各种财政激励措施、卫生人员的大力参与以及南非政府广泛开展的信息和宣传活动,出生和死亡登记完整性达到了很高的比例。