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大巴哈马浅滩西部海底斜坡失稳引发的海啸。

Tsunamis caused by submarine slope failures along western Great Bahama Bank.

作者信息

Schnyder Jara S D, Eberli Gregor P, Kirby James T, Shi Fengyan, Tehranirad Babak, Mulder Thierry, Ducassou Emmanuelle, Hebbeln Dierk, Wintersteller Paul

机构信息

CSL-Center for Carbonate Research, University of Miami, 4600 Rickenbacker Cswy., 33149 Miami, USA.

Center for Applied Coastal Research, University of Delaware, Newark, DE 19716, USA.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2016 Nov 4;6:35925. doi: 10.1038/srep35925.

Abstract

Submarine slope failures are a likely cause for tsunami generation along the East Coast of the United States. Among potential source areas for such tsunamis are submarine landslides and margin collapses of Bahamian platforms. Numerical models of past events, which have been identified using high-resolution multibeam bathymetric data, reveal possible tsunami impact on Bimini, the Florida Keys, and northern Cuba. Tsunamis caused by slope failures with terminal landslide velocity of 20 ms will either dissipate while traveling through the Straits of Florida, or generate a maximum wave of 1.5 m at the Florida coast. Modeling a worst-case scenario with a calculated terminal landslide velocity generates a wave of 4.5 m height. The modeled margin collapse in southwestern Great Bahama Bank potentially has a high impact on northern Cuba, with wave heights between 3.3 to 9.5 m depending on the collapse velocity. The short distance and travel time from the source areas to densely populated coastal areas would make the Florida Keys and Miami vulnerable to such low-probability but high-impact events.

摘要

海底斜坡失稳可能是美国东海岸引发海啸的一个原因。此类海啸的潜在源区包括巴哈马台地的海底滑坡和陆缘崩塌。利用高分辨率多波束测深数据识别出的过去事件的数值模型显示,可能会对比米尼、佛罗里达群岛和古巴北部造成海啸影响。由终端滑坡速度为20米/秒的斜坡失稳引发的海啸,要么在穿越佛罗里达海峡时消散,要么在佛罗里达海岸产生最高1.5米的海浪。对计算出终端滑坡速度的最坏情况进行建模,会产生4.5米高的海浪。大巴哈马浅滩西南部模拟的陆缘崩塌可能会对古巴北部产生很大影响,如果崩塌速度不同,浪高在3.3至9.5米之间。源区与人口密集的沿海地区之间距离短、传播时间短,这将使佛罗里达群岛和迈阿密易受此类低概率但高影响事件的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cfbc/5095707/23a602ce5dfd/srep35925-f1.jpg

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