1996 - 2011年巴西巴拉那州库里蒂巴市的交通事故及凶杀案死亡率
Traffic accident and homicide mortality in Curitiba, Paraná, Brazil, 1996-2011.
作者信息
Barreto Mayckel da Silva, Teston Elen Ferraz, Latorre Maria do Rosário Dias de Oliveira, Mathias Thais Aidar de Freitas, Marcon Sonia Silva
机构信息
Universidade Estadual de Maringá, Departamento de Enfermagem, Maringá-PR, Brasil.
Universidade de São Paulo, Faculdade de Saúde Pública, São Paulo-SP, Brasil.
出版信息
Epidemiol Serv Saude. 2016 Jan-Mar;25(1):95-104. doi: 10.5123/S1679-49742016000100010.
OBJECTIVE
to describe trends in mortality due to homicides and traffic accidents among people living in Curitiba, Parana, Brazil, from 1996 to 2011.
METHODS
this is an ecological time-series study using National Mortality Information System data; trend analysis was performed by polynomial regression models according to sex.
RESULTS
the mortality coefficient due to traffic accidents among males declined from 61.7 in 1996 to 28.4 in 2011 (-46%), whilst among females it decreased from 16.5 to 7.3 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants (-44.2%); in turn, the mortality coefficient for homicides among males rose from 32.5 to 69.3 (+113.2%), whilst among females it rose from 4.4 to 5.3 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants (+20.4%).
CONCLUSION
mortality due to homicides increased; prevention strategies to tackle violence should be aimed at the specificities of external causes and greater male exposure to these injuries.
目的
描述1996年至2011年巴西巴拉那州库里蒂巴市居民中因凶杀和交通事故导致的死亡率趋势。
方法
这是一项利用国家死亡率信息系统数据的生态时间序列研究；根据性别通过多项式回归模型进行趋势分析。
结果
男性因交通事故导致的死亡率系数从1996年的61.7降至2011年的28.4（-46%），而女性则从每10万居民16.5例死亡降至7.3例（-44.2%）；相应地，男性凶杀死亡率系数从32.5升至69.3（+113.2%），而女性则从每10万居民4.4例死亡升至5.3例（+20.4%）。
结论
凶杀导致的死亡率上升；应对暴力的预防策略应针对外部原因的特殊性以及男性更多暴露于这些伤害的情况。
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