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药物和酒精消费对单车碰撞事故中驾驶员受伤严重程度的影响。

The effects of drug and alcohol consumption on driver injury severities in single-vehicle crashes.

作者信息

Behnood Ali, Mannering Fred L

机构信息

a Lyles School of Civil Engineering, Purdue University , West Lafayette , Indiana.

b Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering , University of South Florida , Tampa , Florida.

出版信息

Traffic Inj Prev. 2017 Jul 4;18(5):456-462. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2016.1262540. Epub 2016 Nov 28.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

It is well known that alcohol and drugs influence driving behavior by affecting the central nervous system, awareness, vision, and perception/reaction times, but the resulting effect on driver injuries in car crashes is not fully understood. The purpose of this study was to identify factors affecting the injury severities of unimpaired, alcohol-impaired, and drug-impaired drivers.

METHOD

The current article applies a random parameters logit model to study the differences in injury severities among unimpaired, alcohol-impaired, and drug-impaired drivers. Using data from single-vehicle crashes in Cook County, Illinois, over a 9-year period from January 1, 2004, to December 31, 2012, separate models for unimpaired, alcohol-impaired, and drug-impaired drivers were estimated. A wide range of variables potentially affecting driver injury severity was considered, including roadway and environmental conditions, driver attributes, time and location of the crash, and crash-specific factors.

RESULTS

The estimation results show significant differences in the determinants of driver injury severities across groups of unimpaired, alcohol-impaired, and drug-impaired drivers. The findings also show that unimpaired drivers are understandably more responsive to variations in lighting, adverse weather, and road conditions, but these drivers also tend to have much more heterogeneity in their behavioral responses to these conditions, relative to impaired drivers. In addition, age and gender were found to be important determinants of injury severity, but the effects varied significantly across all drivers, particularly among alcohol-impaired drivers.

CONCLUSIONS

The model estimation results show that statistically significant differences exist in driver injury severities among the unimpaired, alcohol-impaired, and drug-impaired driver groups considered. Specifically, we find that unimpaired drivers tend to have more heterogeneity in their injury outcomes in the presence potentially adverse weather and road surface conditions. This makes sense because one would expect unimpaired drivers to apply their full knowledge/judgment range to deal with these conditions, and the variability of this range across the driver population (with different driving experiences, etc.) should be great. In contrast, we find, for the most part, that alcohol-impaired and drug-impaired drivers have far less heterogeneity in the factors that affect injury severity, suggesting an equalizing effect resulting from the decision-impairing substance.

摘要

目的

众所周知,酒精和药物会通过影响中枢神经系统、意识、视力以及感知/反应时间来影响驾驶行为,但它们对车祸中驾驶员受伤情况的最终影响尚未完全明晰。本研究的目的是确定影响未受损害、酒精影响和药物影响的驾驶员受伤严重程度的因素。

方法

本文应用随机参数logit模型来研究未受损害、酒精影响和药物影响的驾驶员在受伤严重程度上的差异。利用伊利诺伊州库克县2004年1月1日至2012年12月31日这9年期间单车碰撞事故的数据,分别估计了未受损害、酒精影响和药物影响的驾驶员的模型。考虑了一系列可能影响驾驶员受伤严重程度的变量,包括道路和环境条件、驾驶员属性、碰撞的时间和地点以及特定碰撞因素。

结果

估计结果显示,未受损害、酒精影响和药物影响的驾驶员群体在驾驶员受伤严重程度的决定因素方面存在显著差异。研究结果还表明,未受损害的驾驶员对光照、恶劣天气和道路状况的变化反应更灵敏,这是可以理解的,但相对于受损害的驾驶员,这些驾驶员在对这些状况的行为反应上也往往具有更大的异质性。此外,年龄和性别被发现是受伤严重程度的重要决定因素,但这些影响在所有驾驶员中差异显著,尤其是在酒精影响的驾驶员中。

结论

模型估计结果表明,在所考虑的未受损害、酒精影响和药物影响的驾驶员群体中,驾驶员受伤严重程度存在统计学上的显著差异。具体而言,我们发现,在可能存在恶劣天气和路面状况的情况下,未受损害的驾驶员在受伤结果方面往往具有更大的异质性。这是合理的,因为人们会期望未受损害的驾驶员运用他们全部的知识/判断范围来应对这些状况,并且这个范围在驾驶员群体(具有不同驾驶经验等)中的变异性应该很大。相比之下,我们发现,在很大程度上,酒精影响和药物影响的驾驶员在影响受伤严重程度的因素方面的异质性要小得多,这表明决策损害物质产生了一种均衡效应。

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