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基于一项已实施的筛查项目的数据,重新审视对65岁男性进行腹主动脉瘤筛查的成本效益。

Revisiting the cost-effectiveness of screening 65-year-old men for abdominal aortic aneurysm based on data from an implemented screening programme.

作者信息

Hager Jakob, Henriksson Martin, Carlsson Per, Länne Toste, Lundgren Fredrik

机构信息

Department of Surgery, Linköping University, Norrköping, Sweden -

出版信息

Int Angiol. 2017 Dec;36(6):517-525. doi: 10.23736/S0392-9590.16.03777-9. Epub 2016 Dec 1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Health economic analyses based on randomized trials have shown that screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) cost-effectively decreases AAA-related, as well as all- cause mortality. However, follow-up from implemented screening programmes now reveal substantially changed conditions in terms of prevalence, attendance rate, costs and mortality after intervention. Our aim was to evaluate whether screening for AAA among 65-year-old men is cost-effective based on contemporary data on prevalence and attendance rates from an ongoing AAA screening programme.

METHODS

A decision-analytic model, previously used to analyse the cost-effectiveness of an AAA screening programme prior to implementation in clinical practice, was updated using data collected from an implemented screening programme as well as data from contemporary published data and the Swedish register for vascular surgery (Swedvasc).

RESULTS

The base-case analysis showed that the cost per life-year gained and quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained were €4832 and €6325, respectively. Based on conventional threshold values of cost-effectiveness, the probability of screening being cost-effective was high.

CONCLUSION

Despite the reduction of AAA-prevalence and changes in AAA-management over time, screening 65-year-old men for AAA still appears to yield health outcomes at a cost below conventional thresholds of cost-effectiveness.

摘要

背景

基于随机试验的卫生经济分析表明,腹主动脉瘤(AAA)筛查能以具有成本效益的方式降低与AAA相关的死亡率以及全因死亡率。然而,目前已实施筛查项目的随访结果显示,在患病率、参与率、成本以及干预后的死亡率方面,情况已发生了显著变化。我们的目的是根据来自正在进行的AAA筛查项目的当代患病率和参与率数据,评估对65岁男性进行AAA筛查是否具有成本效益。

方法

一个先前用于在临床实践中实施前分析AAA筛查项目成本效益的决策分析模型,使用从已实施的筛查项目收集的数据以及当代已发表数据和瑞典血管外科登记处(Swedvasc)的数据进行了更新。

结果

基础病例分析表明,每获得一个生命年和质量调整生命年(QALY)的成本分别为4832欧元和6325欧元。基于传统的成本效益阈值,筛查具有成本效益的概率很高。

结论

尽管随着时间的推移AAA患病率有所下降且AAA管理方式发生了变化,但对65岁男性进行AAA筛查似乎仍能以低于传统成本效益阈值的成本产生健康效益。

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