Richard Mathilde, Knauf Sascha, Lawrence Philip, Mather Alison E, Munster Vincent J, Müller Marcel A, Smith Derek, Kuiken Thijs
Department of Viroscience, Postgraduate School Molecular Medicine, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Work Group Neglected Tropical Diseases, German Primate Center, Leibniz-Institute for Primate Research, Göttingen, Germany.
Curr Opin Virol. 2017 Feb;22:7-12. doi: 10.1016/j.coviro.2016.11.004. Epub 2016 Nov 28.
The pandemic potential of zoonotic pathogens lies in their ability to become efficiently transmissible amongst humans. Here, we focus on contact-transmitted pathogens and discuss the factors, at the pathogen, host and environmental levels that promote or hinder their human-to-human transmissibility via the following modes of contact transmission: skin contact, sexual contact, respiratory contact and multiple route contact. Factors common to several modes of transmission were immune evasion, high viral load, low infectious dose, crowding, promiscuity, and co-infections; other factors were specific for a pathogen or mode of contact transmission. The identification of such factors will lead to a better understanding of the requirements for human-to-human spread of pathogens, as well as improving risk assessment of newly emerging pathogens.
人畜共患病原体的大流行潜力在于它们能够在人类中有效传播。在此,我们关注通过接触传播的病原体,并讨论在病原体、宿主和环境层面上促进或阻碍它们通过以下接触传播方式在人与人之间传播的因素:皮肤接触、性接触、呼吸道接触和多途径接触。几种传播方式共有的因素包括免疫逃避、高病毒载量、低感染剂量、拥挤、滥交和合并感染;其他因素则特定于某种病原体或接触传播方式。识别这些因素将有助于更好地理解病原体在人与人之间传播的条件,同时改进对新出现病原体的风险评估。