Lee Chulhee, Kim Kyeongbae
Department of Economics, Seoul National University, Kwanak-gu, Seoul, Korea.
Department of Economics, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Health Econ. 2017 Dec;26(12):1630-1636. doi: 10.1002/hec.3460. Epub 2016 Dec 7.
Over the period from 1989 to 2012, total mortality in South Korea shifted from being weakly procyclical or unrelated to the economy to strongly countercyclical in the early 2000s. Cancers played a significant role in changing the direction of the effects of unemployment on mortality. The overall pattern of the effects of macroeconomic conditions on mortality in South Korea roughly follows the corresponding changes observed in the United States. We have provided evidence that the sudden change in the relationship between economic conditions and mortality was driven by diseases with higher and rapidly rising treatment costs. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
在1989年至2012年期间,韩国的总死亡率从与经济呈弱顺周期性或不相关,转变为在21世纪初呈强逆周期性。癌症在改变失业对死亡率影响的方向方面发挥了重要作用。韩国宏观经济状况对死亡率影响的总体模式大致遵循在美国观察到的相应变化。我们提供的证据表明,经济状况与死亡率之间关系的突然变化是由治疗成本较高且迅速上升的疾病驱动的。版权所有© 2016约翰·威利父子有限公司。