McAdams-DeMarco Mara A, Bae Sunjae, Chu Nadia, Gross Alden L, Brown Charles H, Oh Esther, Rosenberg Paul, Neufeld Karin J, Varadhan Ravi, Albert Marilyn, Walston Jeremy, Segev Dorry L
Departments of Surgery,
Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland; and.
J Am Soc Nephrol. 2017 May;28(5):1575-1583. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2016080816. Epub 2016 Dec 15.
Older patients with ESRD who receive a kidney transplant (KT) may develop post-KT dementia and Alzheimer's disease (AD) associated with their long-standing kidney disease and/or neurotoxic immunosuppressant agents. To investigate this possibility, we studied 40,918 older (aged ≥55 years) KT recipients (January 1, 1999 to December 31, 2011) linked to Medicare claims through the US Renal Data System. We estimated dementia and AD risk (cumulative incidence) and studied factors associated with these sequelae using competing risks models. We estimated the risk of death-censored graft loss and mortality after developing dementia or the AD subtype of dementia, separately, using adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. Older recipients had a 10-year dementia risk ranging from 5.1% for recipients aged 55-60 years to 17.0% for recipients aged ≥75 years; 10-year AD risk ranged from 1.0% to 6.7%, respectively. The strongest predictors for dementia and AD were older recipient age and pretransplant diabetes. The 10-year graft loss risk was 28.8% for those who did not develop dementia and 43.1% for those who did, and the corresponding mortality risks were 55.7% and 89.9%, respectively. Older recipients with dementia had a 1.52-fold (95% confidence interval, 1.39 to 1.68) increased risk of graft loss and a 2.38-fold (95% confidence interval, 2.26 to 2.49) increased risk of mortality. We observed similar results for AD. We conclude that older KT recipients have a high risk of post-KT dementia and AD, and these sequelae associate with a profound effect on patient and graft survival.
接受肾移植(KT)的老年终末期肾病(ESRD)患者可能会出现与长期肾病和/或神经毒性免疫抑制剂相关的肾移植后痴呆和阿尔茨海默病(AD)。为了研究这种可能性,我们通过美国肾脏数据系统对40918名年龄较大(≥55岁)的肾移植受者(1999年1月1日至2011年12月31日)进行了研究,这些受者与医疗保险理赔记录相关联。我们估计了痴呆和AD的风险(累积发病率),并使用竞争风险模型研究了与这些后遗症相关的因素。我们分别使用调整后的Cox比例风险模型估计了发生痴呆或AD亚型痴呆后死亡截尾的移植肾丢失风险和死亡率。老年受者的10年痴呆风险从55 - 60岁受者的5.1%到≥75岁受者的17.0%不等;10年AD风险分别从1.0%到6.7%不等。痴呆和AD的最强预测因素是受者年龄较大和移植前糖尿病。未发生痴呆者的10年移植肾丢失风险为28.8%,发生痴呆者为43.1%,相应的死亡风险分别为55.7%和89.9%。患有痴呆的老年受者移植肾丢失风险增加1.52倍(95%置信区间,1.39至1.68),死亡风险增加2.38倍(95%置信区间,2.26至2.49)。我们对AD观察到了类似的结果。我们得出结论,老年肾移植受者肾移植后发生痴呆和AD的风险很高,并且这些后遗症对患者和移植肾存活有深远影响。